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Bitcoin Cash: Rally or Crash?

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Is this a falling wedge reversal we see? Then we need a game plan!

The max consolidation level stopped the drop and we’ve seen a nice bounce. From here, we may see a breach of the falling wedge, a fibo extension target at $454, the pennant target at $466, and possibly even a daily target at $612. I can also see the rally kissing the major fibo resistance at $707.

Alternatively, we may resume the downtrend by breaking through the key fibo level at $359, the sub-key fibo at $341, and finally with bearish confirmation at $307. A fibo extension gives us a target on the hourly at $250 and a daily at $154 if we break the all-time low (I think this is unlikely at this time).

My method also includes analyzing the BCHBTC pair. Here is the plan of action in that chart:
syot kilat

PLEASE NOTE: the long idea here is counter-cyclical until a breach of the bullish confirmation at $484.

As always, I will be updating this daily.

Cheers and GLWT!
Erik.

*If you like my ideas, please upvote :)
Nota
Trend resumption! Very clean breakdown to the pennant fibo extension
syot kilat
Still above the key-fibo level here.... hmmmmm
syot kilat
Nota
Resting on the key-fibo support zone.
Nota
syot kilat
syot kilat
Nota
syot kilat
syot kilat
Nota
Bearish confirmation!
syot kilat
Stable in other chart, for now.
syot kilat
Nota
BCH is telling us the entire altcoin jump is a bit of a dead cat bounce...
syot kilat
We did breach the line here...but we need a close!
syot kilat
Nota
A decision has to be made!
syot kilat
Nota
MAN this is one confused instrument...it has no idea where it wants to go.
syot kilat
syot kilat
Nota
Bullish confirmation is not until a close above $397. Below that, still very bearish.
Nota
Almost there!
syot kilat
BUT! RSI is getting very tired in this other chart, and I don't think it will hit the bullish confirmation.
syot kilat
Overall, with BTC also getting tired, and crypto market cap stagnating...I'd rather go short soon! :)
Dagangan aktif
Forgot!
Nota
syot kilat
Nota
Super fantastic! I had to cover the short and go long.
syot kilat
Don't forget this chart: If we get weakness in BTC this may offset loss. But if there are loss in both charts then BCHUSD will suffer mega.
syot kilat
Nota
FYI: a break below $455 may unleash a dynamic sell wave. This is a bit of a crazy market.
Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai
Nota
RSI might be telling us that we'll see another breakout...
syot kilat
Keep in mind we hit all the targets in this chart...but a breakout out here would make this a monster trade!
syot kilat
Nota
Shorting time?
syot kilat
syot kilat
I've noticed the volume signatures are really wonky in this instrument...so i'm cautious.
Nota
This will look very bearish once BTCUSD turns bearish...

4HR views:
syot kilat
syot kilat
Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai
Absolutely silly. But we made some money :) Blew past the fibo extensions like they were not even there. Might still kiss the major fibo in the USD chart imo.
syot kilat
Kissed the fibo resistance here a few times.
syot kilat
Nota
MAX TP HIT cheers! Thread closed.
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