SEAN_VENGAN
Panjang

Bitcoin Update Post China News current $4346.95 9Sept17

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / Dolar
I always advocate: TRADE WHAT YOU SEE NOT WHAT YOU THINK

So let's use our Technical Analysis Skills to OBJECTIVELY analyze and interpret the markets and suspend getting carried away with the news.
At the end of the day price action is KING (or QUEEN) and news is incidental.

Today I will teach you 5 ways to read this Bitcoin             price and how I SEE the markets OBJECTIVELY rather than emotionally:

1. Measuring the Range from the all time high top of 2Sep to the low of 5Sep we can plot our Fibonacci Levels.
Here we see resistance at the 0.618 level (approx 4603) and support above the 0.236 level (let's call it, $4280).
The above range (top and bottom of cyan dotted lines) indicates the market is RANGE BOUND between $4603 to $4280 a range of, let's call it $350.
That is to say, it is undecided which way it wants to go and the buyers and sellers are currently jostling for power
In an uptrend, that can be viewed as a CONSOLIDATION pattern
In other words, it is collecting enough energy to make a definite move again.

2. Support is resting on the Kijun Sen (black line) and we have not had a Tenken Sen (pink line) cross below.

3. Looking left (left yellow box) and we see price action resting on an old top, as well as previous support roughly at these prices

4. We remain above the Ichimoku Cloud and EMAs, this still remains a bullish sign

5. The momentum whilst falling still remains confidently above the zero line

So in short, there is nothing to panic about at this stage. The market is testing the upper and lower limits of this RANGE and, until proven
otherwise, we must go with the rhythm of the market.

View the markets like a "bucking bronco" it wants to shake off the untrained and uninformed traders by sending false signals so it can trick you only to pass their money to astute traders who have educated themselves to read and interpret technical charts.

In addition, we have our line in the sand of $4,000 and $5,000 to guide us which way the market truly wants to go.

In conclusion, the recent sensational news from China may cause emotional traders to say we are Crashing and let's all sell but there is nothing to indicate that this is a huge selloff and the shorts may get caught like a deer in the headlights.

Now, this could all change if we start breaching this range and testing the $4000 or $5000 mark but for now, we TRADE WHAT WE SEE NOT WHAT WE THINK.

As we I remain bullish , this is a low-risk buying opportunity.

Hope this helps.

Sean Vengan, Professional Trader and Trading Educator
@SEAN_VENGAN, how long does this projection chart is valid for ?
Under what condition this chart is still applicable.
Balas
@albertwt, Hi Albert I just posted a new post. Markets as we know are dynamic so before we were in a range which has broken out to teh downside and is now testing the $4,000 support.

My new post reveals the support.
Balas
Well now that we broke through and closed below the Kijun Sen and the Chikou is hitting the price bars, I would think that an Ichimoku trader would be out. If you are trading what you see, then wouldn't it be smart to sell now and have a buy order open at the next Ichimoku support, the cloud?
Balas
@imos, No that's not the way to trade using these indicators as you have described.

Not sure where you got this information from or is it your own thoughts?

You will need to go through my Course for an explanation.
+1 Balas
imos PRO SEAN_VENGAN
@SEAN_VENGAN, What momentum oscillator are you using in https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b2VWBgPR_S0&list=PLn7YikUv2BchBGW8Gza0o6uOPAb3Sop9Z&index=16

And maybe I misunderstood, what are you using to guide your stop?
Balas
Mr Vengan,

Is it the same for LTC en ETH? Is this just a tempory sett back?

I see a pattern of highs and lows, and I don't really makes me unhappy, I can make a few small trades, with small risks and make a for me an acceptable profit, but the big ones I'm scared off, (even with the stop losses) I just lost all gains of 2 weeks and more in just an hour.

What the Chinese regulation matters, I don't believe they want that too happen. The leaders off China have so much money themselves that they need something unregulated like cryptomoney to get it safe and fast too any place in the world.

With a possible war in the region it is for people (and leaders) even more intresting to change money into a currency that is nog involved into the conflict and can be transferred to any place in the world without someone can steal it when you are on the run. It would make sense that chinees, koreans and even americans buy crypto to be safe for big inflation when their country gets involves in a war where is nothing to win and with an uncertain outcome of infrastructure, material and human losses.

At this moment I can only understand americans that are living in the hurricane zone, that they pull back a part of their money so they can use it for emmergency situations.

But that doesn't explain a pullback of 15% in value.

just a thought


+2 Balas
@stefaan, Hi Stefann, Your comments I'm sure are valid and insightful but personally, I don't concern myself too much with the news.

My style of trading I just need technical charts. The news for me is incidental.

At this stage, I want to keep it simple and see how the Market reacts to the $4,000 level.
Balas
@stefaan, And yes I believe LTC and ETH will probably follow BTC
+1 Balas
@stefaan, There has been need of a pull back and breather for the market. I've been watching the total market cap and it just turned around for today. I expect it will go down again tonight and hit a low tomorrow or tuesday and then fasten your seatbelts! This time next week I bet we'll be back up to $180B market cap from the 140 bottom today (I suspect bottom for today but I could be wrong) I don't think the market cap will go below 130B that would be a much bigger pullback!!!
Balas
stefaan Sabibaby
@Sabibaby,

Did we just have the pull back you mentioned?

Again all profits and much more of the last 2 days are gone.


Balas
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