$BTC Daily Outlook

BTCUSDT.P

Macro Picture

Weekly Chart

• Both Bias & Momentum aligned bullish
  
• Moving towards 111968.0 vLevel (HH) - ATH
  
• Be careful with Weekly FA from that Level
  
• More upside room from here
  
• vLevels Range between 111968.0 - 77083.5
  

Daily Chart

• Both Bias & Momentum aligned Bullish
  
• Failed Auction at 102000.0
  
• Validated from Volume Footprint Charts - Selling Delta trapped on this Failed Auction - POC & Value Area at Wick Lows
  
• vLevels Range between 111968.0 - 102000.0
  
• More Upside room from here, but overall consolidation for now as we are inside a High Volume Node
  
• A pullback would be ideal to look for entries
  

10-Hour Chart

• Price is currently inside an Inside Bar Range between 109740.9 - 107134.7
  
• Overall momentum from the Intraweek Chart (10-Hour) is bearish due to a Failed Auction around 109740.9
  
• Need to wait for confirmation for New Failed Auction Today.
  
• vLevels zone around 105335.0 - 104567.0
  
• Would be nice to have a pullback towards this zone, in which we can start looking for rejections for Intra-Week Longs
  
• Nice zone to look for longs is also IB Range Low 107134.7
  

Intraday Picture


1-Hour Chart

• No outlook for now, waiting for Intra-Week Chart Confirmation
  
• No shorts from here, as HTF bias & momentum remain bullish
  
• Patience - Overall range, don't want to get chopped here.
  

10-Minute Chart

• No Outlook for now, waiting for MTFs and HTFs confirmation
  

Bitcoin Outlook — Narrative Recap



On the higher time-frames the picture is straightforward: both weekly and daily bias and momentum are in sync to the upside. Price is grinding toward the prior all-time high vLevel at 111 968 USD. Treat that level with respect, if a weekly failed auction (FA) forms there, it could mark the next inflection, but for now there is still air between price and that resistance. The broader weekly value range spans from 111 968 USD down to 77 083 USD.

The daily chart reinforces the bullish thesis. A failed auction printed at 102 000 USD, and volume-footprint data show sell-side delta trapped at those wick lows; the point of control and value area also sit there. 102 k is now strong support. Price is chopping inside a high-volume node, so a healthy pullback toward 102 k (or at least into value) would be the ideal place to reload longs before the next push higher.

Drop to the 10-hour “intra-week” view and momentum tilts short-term bearish. Price is boxed inside an inside-bar range between 109 741 USD and 107 135 USD after a failed auction at the range high. The preferred play is patience: let price drift into either the IB low at 107 135 USD or, even better, the deeper vLevel cluster at 105 335 USD – 104 567 USD. There we’ll watch for a fresh failed auction or obvious seller exhaustion to trigger new longs targeting the ATH zone.

On the 1-hour and 10-minute intraday charts there is no edge yet, conditions are choppy and hostage to the intra-week setup to align with the Higher Timeframes. With higher-time-frame bias still firmly bullish, fading strength makes little sense; stand aside until the 10-hour chart confirms a pullback and reversal.

Bottom line: stay bullish, stalk a pullback, and look to join strength from 107 k or 105–104 k. A decisive daily close back below 102 k would force a rethink; until then, patience is the edge.