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kugan_vel
14 Feb 2022 pukul 10.47

Crude Oil hit Fibonacci level and the 1Y trendline 

Crude Oil FuturesMCX

Huraian

Crude Oil hit Fibonacci level and the 1Y trendline. Will it breakout here or will undergo a correction? Below are few observations

1. 1Y trendline is hit for the 4th time in a time cyclic pattern perfectly. This is also the 1.618 Fib level for the Jan '20 - Apr '20 swing
2. Will the trendline breakdown happen this time? May not be as:
- RSI negative divergence is observed
- Volume is significantly lower today compared to last week
3. If the price direction reverses, it may take support at 6377 level which is 38.2 retracement for the Dec '21 - Feb '22 swing.
4. After retracement, price may hit 7400 level hitting the 6.5Y trendline.

Komen

As expected, price reversed. Watch for the 38.2% retracement.

Note: Typo in my post above, it is breakout in point #2, not breakdown.
Lebih