EURCAD is displaying a potential topping pattern at the top of the recent range, right against a long term mode, the price zone with the most activity in the chart since 1994. The previous reaction to such a strong historical resistance level was seen in the chart I posted before, where I reccomended buying against support for a potentially very large move to the upside (which resulted in a home run trade, with enough returns for a year).
This is a terrific opportunity to get short the Euro, and long the Canadian, something which I think is perfectly aligned with the current fundamental landscape. I'll enter with 3 positions, and attempt to ride the downtrend all the way down, booking partial profits on short term selling opportunities, while keeping the core position running, and I'd reccomend you do the same. I favor an ATR based stop loss, against key levels. If interested in getting specific management cues and further add on opportunities, were this trend to reverse as depicted on my quarterly chart, contact me privately. See my profile for details.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Komen
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Dagangan aktif
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We're in with a profitable trade. Good luck!
Komen
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Terrific, I hope everyone caught this short.
Komen
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Flat for now, will rejoin soon.
Komen
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Reshorted, we have a tight stop, but fairly safe. Aiming for retest of the lows before the rally or lower.
Komen
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Timing was spot on, could have held the top entry, oh well. I hope everyone's in. If not in and don't want to miss out, like when I posted 2 hours ago, use a wide ATR stop loss (3 atr will never get you stopped if you're right)
Komen
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Adding to shorts, fade any rallies, sell new lows, just sell.
Komen
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Fading today's rally was a good idea. On Monday we have a new mode to short against, lower. This means the downtrend is very strong.
Komen
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Let this one run for eternity...aiming below 1.46 is very realistic.
Komen
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Reshorted, and adding on a break of support.
Komen
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A retracement in EURUSD is likely, I expect some consolidation or retrace here as well. Will be ideal to add to or rejoin this trend.
The Bank of Canada is the most likely of the major central banks to opt for negative rates this year or next, Marc Chandler, the head of foreign exchange markets strategy at BBH, told CNBC on Friday.
"I am not saying the Bank of Canada will, but that is the most likely candidate of those that are not there yet… I do not see this as anything but very low risk in the U.S.," he said.
(source : CNBC)
After Japan followed with the -ve interest rate, it caused the Nikkei to plunge more than 1000 points only to return back to the market thereafter shortly.
The confusion and euphoria is also impacting the USDJPY pair.
If -ve interest rate does happen to Canada, how would it play out against yen ?
Your thoughts is much appreciated. Thanks
IvanLabrie
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Hi, I wouldn't know, the market can react in unexpected ways like it did with the yen.
Everyone expected uptrend continuation in usdjpy, yet it took a nose dive.
My analysis tells me that the CAD will see continued strength for a long time.
GWaves
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"Let this run for eternity"...ha! That was good. Nice trade!
IvanLabrie
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;)
It can keep going. I keep shorting it.
IvanLabrie
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Enter, exit when it's about to retrace, reenter again when ripe. You risk part of your profit every time, no need to lose unrealized profit by waiting out the pullback, maybe that pullback is a trend reversal and you're toast.
At least that's how I approach these longer term moves. Trying to bank and reenter often.