EURUSD: OUR OPINIONS

It 'easy to see as the most important movement or eurusd has already been done, and the area 1.05 should be closely monitored. If we look at the big picture on the monthly time frame (see chart below), technical analysis tells us that the bearish swing has as main target around 0.91 / 0.93, impressive, right? When our research department produces analyzes on a monthly time frame, it is obliged to take into consideration the fundamental analysis.


C.O.T. ANALYSIS:


NECESSARY CONDITIONS
- Massive increase in QE ECB
- Cut deposit rates ECB
- Constant increase in interest rates throughout 2016 FED
- Maintaining current levels of domestic consumption US economy.
- Constant improvement in commodity prices

What can reverse this long-term trend?
We see only a concrete motive: the improvement in inflation EU area.
If the two Central Banks, the ECB and the Fed will not move, we see a trading range between 1.0 and 1.20

Officially, the central banks can not "manipulating" its currency, but they have all the tools to do it "indirectly" (monetary policy)

LAST EURUSD INTRADAY SWING
(Click and Play)

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