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EdwinPus
4 Jul 2023 pukul 13.53

Cutting interest rates will mean hard landing is unavoidable. 

FRED:FEDFUNDS1M
Effective Federal Funds RateFRED

Huraian

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Look how strong the correlation is between 2y/10y spread and interest rates in the last two decades. Once it starts peaking watch it roll over slowly, a pause, usually indicates the last stages.
Trend AnalysisChart PatternsUS10YUS02YfedfundsrateS&P 500 (SPX500)
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