Jamna Auto - Strongly Bullish - Expansion-Driven Breakout

154
(Timeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic)

The stock has confirmed a decisive breakout from a multi-year resistance zone. This move is supported by a significant capacity expansion announcement, rising volume, and a bullish structural shift.

🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The breakout is driven by a clear growth narrative that is attracting institutional interest:

- ₹132 Cr Expansion Plan: The company recently announced a major investment to set up new manufacturing facilities. This signals management's confidence in future demand.
- Steady Earnings: Q2 FY26 results showed stable profitability (Net Profit ~₹40 Cr) and declared an interim dividend, providing a fundamental floor to the price.
- Impact: This news has acted as the trigger for the stock to finally clear the 112-114 hurdle.

📈 2. The Long-Term Structure (The Breakout)

- The "Lid" (112-114 Zone): This is the critical polarity zone. It has acted as both support and resistance since Nov 2021. Breaking a level with 4 years of history is a significant technical event.
- The Breakout: This week’s surge of 8.53% with 17.84 Million in volume is a high-conviction move. The decisive close above ₹114 confirms that the "supply" at this level has finally been absorbed.
- Volume Profile: The "rising volume" in recent weeks confirms that smart money is accumulating shares in anticipation of the expansion benefits.

📊 3. Technical Indicators
Indicator analysis shows a synchronized bullish trend:

- EMAs: Short-term EMAs are in a PCO state across Monthly and Weekly timeframes, confirming that the trend is aligning upwards.
- RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising without being extremely overbought, leaving room for further upside momentum.

🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
With the "lid" removed, the stock is primed for a recovery rally.

- 🐂 Bullish Targets:
- Target 1: ₹132. This is the first logical resistance.
- Target 2: ₹149 (The ATH). A retest of the all-time high is the ultimate objective of this breakout structure.

- 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Re-test Zone: The ₹112 – ₹114 zone has now flipped to support. A pullback to this level would be a healthy re-test.
- Stop Loss: If the momentum fails, the stock must not close below ₹104. Losing this level would invalidate the breakout and trap the new buyers.

Conclusion
This is a high-quality setup. The combination of a multi-year resistance breakout and a tangible expansion plan makes this a strong candidate for a move toward ₹132. Watch for stability above ₹114.

Penafian

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