This is a live swing trade I am taking in 
MFSL (Max Financial Services). This is a classic "Tennis Ball" setup: a strong breakout, followed by a controlled pullback to the 21 EMA, and now a confirmed bounce.
This post details the *full* mechanical framework I am using to manage this trade.
### 1. The Catalyst (The "Why")
The technical strength is supported by fundamental tailwinds:
* **Analyst Confidence:** Recent reports (Nov 2025) indicate continued bullish coverage from major brokerages (e.g., Motilal Oswal), validating the long-term structural uptrend.
* **Relative Strength:** While the broader market has been volatile, MFSL has held its gains, showing strong institutional accumulation.
### 2. Decoding the Technical Sequence
This trade relies on a specific 4-step confirmation sequence:
1. **Step 1: The VCP Breakout:** A few days ago, the stock broke out of a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) with strong volume, signaling the start of a new leg.
2. **Step 2: The Consolidation:** Instead of extending too far, the stock entered a healthy consolidation phase, digesting the move.
3. **Step 3: The 21 EMA Support:** Yesterday, the price pulled back exactly to the **21 EMA (Orange Line)**. Buyers stepped in immediately, rejecting lower prices. This proved that the trend is respected.
4. **Step 4: The Confirmation (Today):** Today's candle is a strong green "continuation candle" breaking above the pullback highs. This is our entry signal.
### 3. The Mechanical Trade Plan (The "Swing" Playbook)
This is a cash "Swing" trade with defined rules.
* **Bias:** Long
* **Entry (Purple Line):** `₹1,700.00` (Buying the confirmation strength)
* **Stop-Loss (Red Line):** `₹1,640.00` (Placed below the 21 EMA bounce and the recent consolidation low)
* **Risk (1R):** My risk is fixed at **`₹60.00`** per share. This is a **3.53%** risk, allowing for optimal position sizing.
### 4. Our Exit Strategy (The "2R / 21EMA Hybrid")
1. **Target 1 (Base Hit):** Sell **50% of the position at +2R.**
* **2R Target = ~₹1,820.00**
* This target aligns with the psychological level of 1800+.
2. **The "Free Trade" Maneuver:** As soon as Target 1 is hit, the stop-loss on the remaining 50% is moved to **Breakeven (`₹1,700.00`).**
3. **Target 2 (The "Monster" Runner):** I will trail the remaining "free" position using the **21 EMA (Orange Line)**. Since the 21 EMA just provided support for our entry, it is the perfect dynamic stop to ride the trend.
*Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is my personal trade journal and framework, shared for educational and analytical purposes only. Always do your own research.*
MFSL (Max Financial Services). This is a classic "Tennis Ball" setup: a strong breakout, followed by a controlled pullback to the 21 EMA, and now a confirmed bounce.This post details the *full* mechanical framework I am using to manage this trade.
### 1. The Catalyst (The "Why")
The technical strength is supported by fundamental tailwinds:
* **Analyst Confidence:** Recent reports (Nov 2025) indicate continued bullish coverage from major brokerages (e.g., Motilal Oswal), validating the long-term structural uptrend.
* **Relative Strength:** While the broader market has been volatile, MFSL has held its gains, showing strong institutional accumulation.
### 2. Decoding the Technical Sequence
This trade relies on a specific 4-step confirmation sequence:
1. **Step 1: The VCP Breakout:** A few days ago, the stock broke out of a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) with strong volume, signaling the start of a new leg.
2. **Step 2: The Consolidation:** Instead of extending too far, the stock entered a healthy consolidation phase, digesting the move.
3. **Step 3: The 21 EMA Support:** Yesterday, the price pulled back exactly to the **21 EMA (Orange Line)**. Buyers stepped in immediately, rejecting lower prices. This proved that the trend is respected.
4. **Step 4: The Confirmation (Today):** Today's candle is a strong green "continuation candle" breaking above the pullback highs. This is our entry signal.
### 3. The Mechanical Trade Plan (The "Swing" Playbook)
This is a cash "Swing" trade with defined rules.
* **Bias:** Long
* **Entry (Purple Line):** `₹1,700.00` (Buying the confirmation strength)
* **Stop-Loss (Red Line):** `₹1,640.00` (Placed below the 21 EMA bounce and the recent consolidation low)
* **Risk (1R):** My risk is fixed at **`₹60.00`** per share. This is a **3.53%** risk, allowing for optimal position sizing.
### 4. Our Exit Strategy (The "2R / 21EMA Hybrid")
1. **Target 1 (Base Hit):** Sell **50% of the position at +2R.**
* **2R Target = ~₹1,820.00**
* This target aligns with the psychological level of 1800+.
2. **The "Free Trade" Maneuver:** As soon as Target 1 is hit, the stop-loss on the remaining 50% is moved to **Breakeven (`₹1,700.00`).**
3. **Target 2 (The "Monster" Runner):** I will trail the remaining "free" position using the **21 EMA (Orange Line)**. Since the 21 EMA just provided support for our entry, it is the perfect dynamic stop to ride the trend.
*Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is my personal trade journal and framework, shared for educational and analytical purposes only. Always do your own research.*
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.