Building Permits: the silent warning behind market cycles

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U.S. Building Permits have historically acted as a leading indicator of economic slowdowns.

Each time construction activity cooled — in the 1970s, 2007, and again post-2021 — deep S&P 500 drawdowns followed shortly after.

Today, permits have fallen to 1.33M (−2.3%), while the S&P 500 remains near all-time highs with a minor −1.6% drawdown.

📊 Historically, this kind of divergence doesn’t last long.
When the real economy starts to weaken, the market usually follows.

👉 The housing cycle whispers before the market screams.

Penafian

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