RHTrading

SPY Wedge Morphing Rising Wedge

AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500
As you can see there was a false breakout above the top rail and then an equal false breakout below the bottom rail, symmetry false breakouts, tan circles.When that occurs we need to adjust the top and bottom trend lines to the new high and low to get the new pattern.

If the price action breaks out above the new top rail we’ll have a bullish rising wedge that has been in consolidation mode going back to February which is a nice amount of time for a consolidation pattern to develop for this type of move. On the other hand if the price action breaks below the bottom rail then we’ll have a bearish rising wedge . My experience has been that the original pattern is the correct pattern with the morphing process just making the pattern a little bit bigger.

Also keep in mind this rising wedge could be a halfway pattern to the upside if we get the breakout above the top rail. Also these types of patterns that slope up in the direction of the trend tells us the impulse move is very strong. So we wait for confirmation one way or the other.
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