🔮 SPY & SPX Scenarios — Friday, Nov 14, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚨 Shutdown disruption continues: The entire Retail Sales + PPI complex — normally one of the biggest monthly movers — is still at risk of nondelivery. Markets will trade on expectations, not prints.
📉 Volatility watch: With CPI, Claims, and Retail Sales all in backlog, positioning remains thin and reactive to yields + global risk sentiment.
💵 Bond market tone dominates: Without fresh inflation data, Treasury moves may guide SPX levels more than usual.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
All major data below is shutdown-risk flagged.
⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (Oct)
Forecast: -0.2%
Shutdown delay risk — high
⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales ex-Auto (Oct)
Forecast: +0.2%
Shutdown delay risk — high
⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Producer Price Index (PPI, Oct)
Headline: +0.1%
Core: +0.3%
Shutdown delay risk — high
⏰ ⚠️ 10:00 AM — Business Inventories (Sept)
Forecast: +0.2%
Shutdown delay risk — medium
👉 All above data normally moves markets, especially Retail Sales + PPI.
Today, traders only get the reaction if the numbers publish.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #trading #inflation #PPI #RetailSales #macro #economy #Fed #markets #risk #shutdown
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚨 Shutdown disruption continues: The entire Retail Sales + PPI complex — normally one of the biggest monthly movers — is still at risk of nondelivery. Markets will trade on expectations, not prints.
📉 Volatility watch: With CPI, Claims, and Retail Sales all in backlog, positioning remains thin and reactive to yields + global risk sentiment.
💵 Bond market tone dominates: Without fresh inflation data, Treasury moves may guide SPX levels more than usual.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
All major data below is shutdown-risk flagged.
⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (Oct)
Forecast: -0.2%
Shutdown delay risk — high
⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales ex-Auto (Oct)
Forecast: +0.2%
Shutdown delay risk — high
⏰ ⚠️ 8:30 AM — Producer Price Index (PPI, Oct)
Headline: +0.1%
Core: +0.3%
Shutdown delay risk — high
⏰ ⚠️ 10:00 AM — Business Inventories (Sept)
Forecast: +0.2%
Shutdown delay risk — medium
👉 All above data normally moves markets, especially Retail Sales + PPI.
Today, traders only get the reaction if the numbers publish.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #trading #inflation #PPI #RetailSales #macro #economy #Fed #markets #risk #shutdown
Penerbitan berkaitan
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.
Penerbitan berkaitan
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.