AndyM
Singkat

Sell USDJPY ahead of market crash

FX:USDJPY   Dolar U.S/ Yen Jepun
372 13 11
Something really funny is going to happen in Q1'18. No one expects that, and nobody understand why on earth that could happen.
Andy, hmmm,it looks like strong USD is pushing this up,at the same time this thing is lifting eurjpy and audjpy with it.
Balas
AndyM Mairita
@Mairita, some time soon this should resolve. One more swing high for GBPJPY:
Balas
AndyM Mairita
@Mairita, and if we look at the larger picture, it is even more attractive: we have an a-b-c, with an ending wedge in C, so a full retracement to the downside is _almost_ guaranteed.
Balas
Mairita AndyM
@AndyM, yea,but I would be happy for not getting stopped out before that final reverse.eurusd and gbpusd got me hard :(
Balas
AndyM Mairita
@Mairita, don't enter until we have that final swing high done, the market may go much further than we initially expect. Don't enter in advance "because it will reverse anyway". The market likes to punish this.
Balas
Mairita AndyM
@AndyM, i had some sells from before what got stopped out,now on sidelines.But have eurjpy sell still alive :)
Balas
at least now you admit that it would be strange and irrational, however there is one point you have never mentioned that makes this kind of move "possible" and explainable. I'm surprised you do not say in your analysis that the positive JPY positions of commercial traders in the commitment of traders report is at an almost historic high, and by application of the first theorem of trading : "commercials are always right", something will happen. similarily, when this equivalent data was at the same extremum for CAD this year and where everybody called for 1.40 and above it went straight to 1.22 from 1.38 in 2~3 months
Balas
AndyM lapin_eliott
@lapin_eliott, je vais meme pas lire toute ces conneries..
Balas
@AndyM, you should, basically it says that i'm on your side
Balas
AndyM lapin_eliott
@lapin_eliott, tu fais publier tes graphiques at toi, et tu fais tes debats la-bas, c'est clair?
Balas
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