@Mairita, don't enter until we have that final swing high done, the market may go much further than we initially expect. Don't enter in advance "because it will reverse anyway". The market likes to punish this.
at least now you admit that it would be strange and irrational, however there is one point you have never mentioned that makes this kind of move "possible" and explainable. I'm surprised you do not say in your analysis that the positive JPY positions of commercial traders in the commitment of traders report is at an almost historic high, and by application of the first theorem of trading : "commercials are always right", something will happen. similarily, when this equivalent data was at the same extremum for CAD this year and where everybody called for 1.40 and above it went straight to 1.22 from 1.38 in 2~3 months