On the 4-hour chart, the downward correction develops as the wave ii of 3 as a zigzag. Now, the wave (c) of ii is forming as a momentum, within which the ending fifth wave v of (c) of ii is developing. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the level of 107.50. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 108.80.
Main scenario
Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 108.80 with the target at 107.50. Implementation period: 5–7 days.
Alternative scenario
The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 108.80 will let the pair grow to the levels of 110.67–112.40.
Scenario
Timeframe Weekly Recommendation SELL Entry Point 108.27 Take Profit 107.50 Stop Loss 108.80 Key Levels 107.50, 108.80, 110.67, 112.40
Alternative scenario
Recommendation BUY STOP Entry Point 108.85 Take Profit 110.67, 112.40 Stop Loss 108.25 Key Levels 107.50, 108.80, 110.67, 112.40