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USDJPY 15M short | Evening Star Pattern

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FOREXCOM:USDJPY   Dolar A.S. / Yen Jepun
Candle Pattern: Evening Star
Trend: down
Trend Entry: with

TP/SL Ratio Target: 2 to 1
Target TP PIPs: 40
SL PIPS: 20

Fib Entry: .764
Fib TP: .236
Stochastic: over-bought
MACD Histogram: contracting down
200SMA: above
Inside EMA/SMA zone: no
BB: top
Pivot Point: R1 && R2

Elliot Wave:
looks like the start of wave 5 in the uptrend. Hourly starting to show overbought.
Im looking for a retracement down before completing the final leg to the upside above wave 3 on the hourly


Notes:

morning star formed around the 618 fib retracement. I set my entry at the .764 above the morning star.

stochastic showing overbought and second wave into the overbought zone.
macd still showing decrease in upside momentum

What can go wrong:
SL set just above wave 3 last high and price could end up going straight for the completion of elliot wave 5 and blow past wave 3 last high point, at which point I would get stopped out.







Dagangan ditutup: hentian tercapai:
price went for the elliot wave 5.
SL hit within 2 hours
Penafian

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