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albert.callisto
13 Feb 2016 pukul 21.19

XAGUSD - wait for retracement before buying silver Panjang

Silver/U.S. DollarFXCM

Huraian

XAGUSD is now in an ascending pitchfork after it escaped from the base of relatively flat cloud. One may want for a small retracement towards the Kijun before entering a long trade. Target is defined by a SSB level that is present in the weekly Ichimoku cloud back in August 2015. For a longer term trade, other targets given by weekly SSB are 16.93 and 17.8. In H4 Ichimoku, we are far away from the cloud, high above the Kijun in a nice bullish trend. There are no real obstacles for the lagging span besides the classical intermediate R/S levels. Around 15.80 it would enter the area of price that was present in November 2015.

I think it's worth going beyond technical aspects and think in terms of fundamentals, we have a global risk aversion that is pushing the market towards precious metals.

According to research by Smaugld, neither American nor Canadian mining production is sufficient to meet the demand for silver coins in each country.

Source: mineweb.com/news/silver/silver-price-to-benefit-from-cost-cutting-industrial-demand/

Komen

That was a hell of retracement....
Komen
Csys
I hope you have realized this:
albert.callisto
Nice pitchfork, yep looks like a more rough correction is required, we are overbought, the top of the cloud is a better buy area probably (for a short-term). Longer term could go to 14.4 and a buy there or on your trend line would be safer.
Csys
I don't know the cloud theory. Is there a rule that you cannot trade inside the Kumo?
albert.callisto
Cloud is seen as "neutral" usually and you are not supposed to take a trade if the candles are inside it. But that's theory
Csys
Ah! Early entry. Let's wait for a little more while.
Lebih