Gold – H4 Structure at Key Decision Point | July 14 Outlook

123
🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) – July 14 Outlook | Key Reaction Ahead at 3366

Gold closed Friday at 3355.665, after facing resistance from the H4 swing high (3366).
While price failed to break that level during the session, the last H4 candle closed as a bullish spinning top, signaling indecision — but with slight bullish pressure.

As we head into Monday’s open, the next move could be pivotal in determining the direction of the upcoming H4 trend leg.

🔮 Key Scenarios to Watch

1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (Preferred Bias):
If the market opens above 3366, creating a clean Break of Structure (BoS), it would confirm the continuation of the H4 uptrend.
→ In this case, we will watch for a retest of the 3320 Order Block (OB) — a potential long setup zone.
→ If price gives another BoS after the first, it may also present a continuation entry opportunity, depending on structure.

2️⃣ Rejection / Bearish Case:
If the market fails to break 3366, we’ll step back and observe how M15 reacts.
→ Consolidation could follow before any significant BoS.
→ In this scenario, patience is key — we’ll wait for either confirmation of a deeper pullback or a structure shift on lower timeframes.

3️⃣ Consolidation Possibility:
There’s also a strong possibility that price consolidates between the H4 swing high (3366) and the 3320 OB before making a structural decision.
→ A tight range can trap both buyers and sellers — so it’s crucial not to act prematurely.

🧭 Trade Bias Summary

If BoS (above 3366):
→ Bullish bias confirmed
→ Look for long on OB retest (e.g., 3320 zone) or next M15 structure break

⚠️ If No BoS:
→ Step back, observe M15
→ Wait for structure clarity before forming bias

🔁 If Range Forms (3366–3320):
→ Stay out until market resolves direction
→ Let breakout + retest guide the next setup

🧠 Final Thoughts

This analysis is shared for educational and structural observation purposes only — not as trade advice or recommendation.
The goal is to track price behavior around key zones and adapt based on how structure confirms or invalidates bias.

📖 Let the market reveal its intention — not with emotion, but through structure.
We don’t predict the breakout — we prepare for both outcomes.

📘 Shared by ChartIsMirror

Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.