Confirmation to upside - A 4 hour close above the upper resistance around about 4800 sat on heavy , will likely lead to new high
Confirmation to downside - A 4 hour break below the neckline of the on the long frame around about 4050 sat.
Not much else to say here, no way to know which way it breaks, so look for the triggering events
Targets are just for reference, not actual targets but should get in the ballpark area.
Not financial advice.