🔍 XRP/USD – 12M Macro Outlook
Currently, my primary focus remains on the 12-month (12M) chart, which provides the cleanest view of macro structure. From a technical standpoint, we are witnessing what appears to be a mid-cycle pullback within a broader bullish continuation.
📉 While it's theoretically possible for XRP to revisit the $2.00 level or lower, support has consistently held above that threshold across multiple higher time frames. Notably, the region between $2.00–$2.14 has shown to be a structural demand zone, aligning with prior breakout pivots and institutional accumulation zones.
📊 My conditions for confirmation:
The current 12M candle must close above prior candle highs, establishing a higher high and preserving bullish market structure.
A clean break and close above the $2.65–$2.70 range would signal momentum resumption, opening the door toward retesting the ATH zone of $3.40 and potentially forming new highs.
✅ This phase should be viewed as a market reset, not a reversal. The weekly and monthly momentum cycles are aligning for reaccumulation, and this kind of consolidation historically precedes parabolic expansion.
In summary:
🧠 Bias: Bullish (macro)
⚠️ Risk level: Moderate (due to macro resistance near $2.65)
🛑 Invalidation: Weekly/monthly close below $2.00
🎯 Targets: $2.65 → $3.00 → $3.40 (ATH zone)
Currently, my primary focus remains on the 12-month (12M) chart, which provides the cleanest view of macro structure. From a technical standpoint, we are witnessing what appears to be a mid-cycle pullback within a broader bullish continuation.
📉 While it's theoretically possible for XRP to revisit the $2.00 level or lower, support has consistently held above that threshold across multiple higher time frames. Notably, the region between $2.00–$2.14 has shown to be a structural demand zone, aligning with prior breakout pivots and institutional accumulation zones.
📊 My conditions for confirmation:
The current 12M candle must close above prior candle highs, establishing a higher high and preserving bullish market structure.
A clean break and close above the $2.65–$2.70 range would signal momentum resumption, opening the door toward retesting the ATH zone of $3.40 and potentially forming new highs.
✅ This phase should be viewed as a market reset, not a reversal. The weekly and monthly momentum cycles are aligning for reaccumulation, and this kind of consolidation historically precedes parabolic expansion.
In summary:
🧠 Bias: Bullish (macro)
⚠️ Risk level: Moderate (due to macro resistance near $2.65)
🛑 Invalidation: Weekly/monthly close below $2.00
🎯 Targets: $2.65 → $3.00 → $3.40 (ATH zone)
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Penerbitan berkaitan
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.