AMD Approaching Key Supply Zone โ€“ Rejection or Breakout?

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๐Ÿ“Œ Thesis:
AMD is approaching a critical 1D supply zone ($122โ€“$130) with bearish RSI divergence, suggesting possible short-term exhaustion.

๐Ÿ” Technical Overview:
โœ… Structure: Bullish recovery confirmed with Break of Structure (BoS).
๐Ÿ“ˆ Price Action: Higher highs into known supply zone.
๐Ÿ“‰ RSI: Forming lower highs, showing classic bearish divergence โ€” a common warning signal near key resistance.
๐Ÿงญ MACD: Still positive, but momentum is slowing.
๐Ÿ“Š Volume: Healthy, but not confirming a breakout (yet).

๐Ÿ“Œ Base Case (Bias):
Rejection from supply zone is likely, given weakening momentum. Watch for bearish reversal candles around $122โ€“$130.

If rejection confirms:
๐ŸŽฏ First target: EMA cluster ($116).
๐Ÿ›‘ Invalidation: Clean breakout above $130 with volume.

๐Ÿ” Alternate Scenario:
If AMD breaks and holds above $130, divergence is invalidated.
Next upside target: $140โ€“$150 (previous resistance zone).

โœ… Trade Plan:
๐Ÿ”น Short setup: Bearish rejection + divergence confirmation at supply zone.
๐Ÿ”น Long setup: Breakout + retest of supply zone turned support.

Conclusion:
This is a technical inflection point for AMD. Price action in the coming sessions will likely define the short-term direction. Trade the setup, not the prediction.

Penafian

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