ASST: Trade write-up / 07 May

113
Daily Time-Frame Context

syot kilat

syot kilat

1h Chart
syot kilat

ASST gapped up over 300% pre-market on news of transitioning to a crypto holding company (a strong hype theme).

Despite being in a long-term downtrend, ASST had a history of prior gap-ups in 2023–2025.

Highest daily trading volume (HDW) ever recorded, with 80M shares traded pre-market.

Low short interest (0.5 days) and a relatively small float of 10.9M.

5-Min Time-Frame Analysis

syot kilat

Pre-Market Action:
Gap-up to Jan’25 highs, followed by shallow consolidation to the rising 8 EMA and VWAP (1h 8 EMA)

Opening Price Action:
  • Price posted a failed breakdown setup, finding support at VWAP, Jan’25 highs, and the pre-market base.
  • Selling volume remained low, while reversal volume showed substantial buying interest, with most bars closing at the highs.
  • MACD signaled bearish posture during this reversal, hinting at potential upcoming consolidation.


Mid-Day Movement

Price reached a mid-day top with increased selling volume, reduced buying, bearish MACD, and flattening short-term EMAs.

Pullback Phase

  • Price pulled back for 4 hours to early morning support (Jan’25 highs, pre-market top, morning reversal), with gradually decreasing volume, indicating drying-up selling interest.
  • Pullback had a textbook three-wave structure with ideal Fibonacci proportions.


Consolidation and Breakout

Established a solid consolidation at the key support zone, featuring:
  • Several shake-outs
  • Buying volume dominating selling
  • Sequance of higher lows formation
  • Inside bars prior to breakout
  • MACD turning bullish


Possible Entries

Aggressive Entry:
Failed breakdown and V-shaped reversal with an 11% stop at LOD.

Ideal Entry/Aggressive add-on:
After the shake-out/inside bars sequence on low volume, breakout confirmed by bullish convergence of EMAs and VWAP. Full stop could be placed bellow higher low.

Active Uptrend Phase
  • Price respected the 8 EMA during the active advance phase, pausing only during halts.
  • (!) Gradually increasing buying volume without a sudden spike - a sign of steady buying rather than stop-loss coverage.
  • Noticeably lower selling volume compared to buying volume.
  • Price approached the next significant daily resistance zone at Jan’24 highs - a potential profit-trimming target.


Swing-Trading Thesis

  1. Strong crypto-related hype (becoming a crypto holding company).
  2. Crypto sector showing relative strength since the market top and recovery phase.
  3. Price maintained above key short-term moving averages into the close and post-market, supporting the bullish case.
  4. Bitcoin pullback and altcoin breakout setups further enhance the thesis.



Penafian

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