Nifty Bank Index
Pendidikan

Risk Management & Position Sizing in Options Trading

68
1. Why Risk Management is Critical in Options Trading
1.1 Options Are Leveraged Instruments
Options give you exposure to a large number of shares (typically 100 per contract) with relatively low capital. This leverage can magnify gains but also amplify losses. Even a small unfavorable move can cause significant capital erosion if risk is not contained.

1.2 Complex Payoff Structures
Unlike stocks, where the risk is linear, options have non-linear payoffs. The risk profile varies by strategy—buying calls is different from selling naked puts or trading spreads.

1.3 Time Decay and Volatility Risks
Options lose value over time due to theta decay. They are also sensitive to volatility (vega). This introduces another layer of risk unrelated to the underlying asset’s movement.

1.4 Black Swan Events
Events like earnings surprises, geopolitical developments, or market crashes can cause sudden, drastic price movements. For naked sellers especially, losses can be unlimited without hedging.

2. Types of Risk in Options Trading
2.1 Market Risk (Directional Risk)
Refers to the risk of the underlying asset moving unfavorably. A call buyer loses if the stock stays flat or falls.

2.2 Volatility Risk
Changes in implied volatility can greatly affect option prices. Vega risk is especially high in long-term or ATM options.

2.3 Time Decay Risk (Theta)
Time works against buyers of options. Each passing day erodes option value, especially as expiration nears.

2.4 Liquidity Risk
Options with wide bid-ask spreads can be costly to enter/exit. Illiquidity increases slippage and reduces profit potential.

2.5 Assignment Risk
Short options can be assigned early, especially American-style ones. Unexpected assignment can disrupt strategy and increase capital exposure.

2.6 Execution Risk
A delayed or incorrectly executed trade can ruin a well-planned setup. This is more common in fast-moving markets or volatile earnings events.

3. Core Principles of Risk Management
3.1 Define Risk Per Trade
Set a maximum % of total capital you're willing to lose on a single trade (usually 1-3% for retail traders).

3.2 Use Stop-Loss or Mental Stop
For debit strategies, stop out based on premium loss (e.g., close when 50% of premium is lost). For spreads, define breakeven and max loss beforehand.

3.3 Diversify Across Strategies and Sectors
Don’t concentrate all positions in one asset, direction, or strategy. Spread risk across uncorrelated trades.

3.4 Control Emotional Risk
Fear and greed are major culprits in poor trading. Predefined risk limits help reduce emotional overreaction and revenge trading.

3.5 Trade with a Written Plan
Include: strategy, entry/exit, risk limits, reasons for trade, and what would invalidate it.

4. Position Sizing: The Forgotten Superpower
Position sizing determines how many contracts to trade. It balances risk, capital, and reward. A well-sized position can protect your account even during drawdowns.

4.1 Position Sizing Formula
Maximum Risk Per Trade = Account Size × % Risk Per Trade
Position Size = Maximum Risk ÷ Trade Risk Per Contract

🔎 Example:

Account size: ₹1,00,000

Risk per trade: 2% → ₹2,000

Premium at entry: ₹100

Stop-loss at 50% → ₹50 loss per contract

Trade risk per contract = ₹50 × 100 = ₹5,000

You can’t even afford 1 lot. Reduce premium or risk level.

5. Position Sizing by Strategy Type
5.1 Long Options (Calls/Puts)
High theta risk.

Position sizing must assume premium loss of 50–100%.

Only invest what you're okay to lose.

Rule of thumb: No more than 2% of account capital per trade for OTM options.

5.2 Spreads (Debit/Credit)
Defined max loss makes it easier to size.

Debit spreads: Risk = net premium paid.

Credit spreads: Risk = spread width – net credit received.

Example:
Bear Call Spread:

Sell 18000 CE @ ₹200, Buy 18100 CE @ ₹100

Net credit = ₹100

Max loss = ₹(100 × 100) = ₹10,000 per lot

To limit to ₹2,000 risk per trade → 1/5th of a lot → Trade 0.2 lots (not practical). So either widen stop-loss buffer or reduce strike width.

5.3 Naked Selling (Puts/Calls)
Unlimited risk on naked calls, and massive risk on naked puts.

Only for experienced traders.

Require very small position sizes (usually <1% of capital).

Better with high capital + margin availability.

Tip: Use defined-risk spreads instead of naked positions.

6. Dynamic Adjustments in Position Sizing
6.1 Volatility-Adjusted Sizing
In high IV environments, options are more expensive and volatile. Reduce position size to account for uncertainty.

Example: Use VIX levels or IV Rank to scale down in high volatility.

6.2 Kelly Criterion (Advanced)
A statistical method to optimize position sizing based on expected edge.

Formula:
f* = (bp - q) / b
Where:

f = % of capital to bet

b = odds received (reward/risk)

p = probability of win

q = 1 – p

Problem: Kelly assumes known probabilities—not realistic in live markets.

Use half-Kelly or fixed-fractional sizing for safer results.

7. Hedging as Risk Management
7.1 Protective Puts
Used to hedge long stock positions. Acts like insurance.

Example: Buy 1 lot of 17000 PE if holding Nifty Futures. Cost = premium.

7.2 Covered Calls
Sell calls against stock you own to generate income and reduce breakeven.

7.3 Collar Strategy
Buy protective put + sell covered call. Limits both upside and downside.

8. Portfolio-Level Risk Management
8.1 Total Exposure Limit
Don’t have more than 30–50% of account capital exposed at any given time. Keep cash buffer for adjustments and new trades.

8.2 Correlation Awareness
Avoid loading up on similar trades (e.g., multiple bullish Bank Nifty options). If the sector crashes, all lose together.

8.3 Delta Neutrality (Advanced)
Maintain a balanced portfolio with near-zero net delta. Helps avoid directional exposure.

9. Real-World Examples
📘 Example 1: Long Call on TCS
Premium = ₹40

Stop-loss = 50% = ₹20

Lot size = 300

Max loss per lot = ₹20 × 300 = ₹6,000

Capital: ₹1,00,000

2% of capital = ₹2,000

You can only trade 0.33 lots → trade fewer contracts or reduce premium

📘 Example 2: Credit Spread on Nifty
Sell 17800 CE @ ₹120

Buy 17900 CE @ ₹60

Net credit = ₹60

Max loss = (₹100 – ₹60) × 50 = ₹2,000

Capital = ₹1,00,000

Risk = 2% = ₹2,000 → Can take 1 lot

10. Psychological Risk & Discipline
Even with math and planning, human psychology can destroy a trader. Risk management also means:

Accepting small losses gracefully

Avoiding revenge trading

Being consistent with position size

Not increasing size after a winning streak (“overconfidence bias”)

Not reducing size drastically after a loss (“fear bias”)

Tip: Journal your trades to review your risk adherence and learn from mistakes.

Conclusion
In options trading, profits are not just made by identifying the right direction but by managing downside risk and sizing positions wisely. Risk management protects you during storms. Position sizing helps you survive losing streaks and compound returns over time.

Remember, great traders don’t just think about how much they can make—they obsess about how much they can lose.

Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.