This cognitive bias causes a tendency to over-trust other people's judgments. And in a situation of uncertainty, the desire to find a foothold increases, which issomeone's authoritative opinion. The anchor effect makes traders look for hints of trend changes from analysts, and in advanced cases, from astrologers (however, they are not much different from each other). And even consult with "colleagues" on the forums, breaking through all levels of thebottom.
What to do? Think with your head
Monte Carlo effect
If two independent events occur sequentially (one after the other), a person tends toconsider them interconnected. And calculate the probability of the second eventoccurring in relation to the first What to do? Remember that the question: "Will mynext deal successful? there is only one answer: "Maybe it will, or maybe not." Atrader generally does not have the right to think in terms of individual transactions
Irwin effect (valency effect)
Sometimes, when we really want something, we tend tooverestimate the likelihood of a positive outcome. And vice versa - underestimate the probability of anegative. It can be said in a simpler way, without any valencies:unreasonable optimism is turned on. Traders often have this cognitive bias when making decisions. Because I really want money...
What to do? Turn on defensive pessimism
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