Building onto my previous work, this is how I anticipate the next year or so to play out cyclewise. I don't know about the levels, or how strong or weak the impulses will be. Example: the growth phase next summer can be super weak and be cancelled out, who knows. What I know is that, generally speaking, the impulses should be the strongest now moving into Christmas, but looking at the cycles, the weekly (strongest) cycle is to bottom in January, so because this is so close to Christmas, that might be a bummer to the blow-off top, suppressing it. Also, the macro cycle low is scheduled September 10–12th. This is also at the crest or highest high of the weekly cycle. This can also be a suppressor for an impulsive move.
But overall, I am willing to go long September 6–12 time frame, where I believe I have the odds in my favour. And also from the weekly cycle low and in the growth phase in April 26, it is possible to play longs.
Lastly, given that the whole bull run has happened on QT, and QE is likely to start at the signs of cracks in the markets, I think it's reasonable to think that the top might be suppressed down, and the bear market might be artificially kept higher than before, as new liquidity might be inserted to help the markets around Q1–2 2026.
Shortly said: a smaller BTC top in 2025, and a smaller drawdown in the bear market in 2026.
But overall, I am willing to go long September 6–12 time frame, where I believe I have the odds in my favour. And also from the weekly cycle low and in the growth phase in April 26, it is possible to play longs.
Lastly, given that the whole bull run has happened on QT, and QE is likely to start at the signs of cracks in the markets, I think it's reasonable to think that the top might be suppressed down, and the bear market might be artificially kept higher than before, as new liquidity might be inserted to help the markets around Q1–2 2026.
Shortly said: a smaller BTC top in 2025, and a smaller drawdown in the bear market in 2026.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.