Ethereum / Bitcoin
Panjang

Watching ETHBTC for a Double Bottom (Hidden Bullish Divergence)

485
Introduction
We are in the initial stages of seeing if ETH can set a "higher low" double bottom on the monthly chart. The first low was set September 2019 so this has been a multi year pattern. It might be playing out over several crpyot cycles to completion.

Simple Price Analysis
For a valid double bottom we want the lows within 10% of each other. The first low is about 8% below this second low so we are definitely within tolerance. We can also see that price is currently bouncing off top of the previous monthly bottoming structure until price moved to between the 0.618 level and created a double top (which I covered extensively in the linked idea.

In the chart below we can see a similar pattern with bitcoin after the C19 crash. The low wasn't textbook, the first low being 18% lower than the second low. Thats fine. The most important think is that price set a higher low.

Targeting off the fib draw is still the same. Looking for the 1.618 level. So I am watching to see eth hit a 27x against bitcoin from here
syot kilat

Indicators
Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator

Hidden (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator

If you look at the primer we are looking for the main trend to continue. And that is up.

Battle Plan
In my linked idea I made it clear I was staying out of eth until I saw bullish divergence. Not just eth, but everything in the eth ecosystem. Now EHTBC provisionally bullish its time to look at the ETH ecosystem again. While ETHBTC looked bearish I didn't even bother to analyze tokens against eth, only BTC.

Now I am going to be analyzing coins bullishness against eth. If I don't think it will outperform eth I don't buy it. And generally, I hope to be buying bull backs. Here is a great opportunity for a SUI buy when compared against eth on the 4h chart.

Wish me luck.

syot kilat

Linked Idea
ETH ecosystem to fund initial stage of crypto bullrun

Penafian

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