Crypto Notes

9 Jan 2022

Hi traders!

I did not plan to make this post but as Crypto markets are currently falling I will share some of my Crypto
notes that have helped me to navigate in Cryptoverse.

Side note: This is not the only way how to trade Crypto markets. Sharing just some information. Eventually every trader have it's own methods and beliefs.

Being early is a great advantage in Crypto

If you want to discover good projects early that have high potential then some work is needed to put into research. Nowadays there are so many projects (not only BTC & ETH)
and it may feel sometimes overwhelming. Good way is to focus on some specific sectors - this will help to set some boundaries. Of course these sectors (or new trends)
can change as we are dealing with fastly moving technology. If you find something and are able to get in early then it means an entry with low price.
When project is successful you will make X multiple gains (you can replace X with any number you like). But research is only
one part of the work - trade management is also needed. Of course being early has its own risks - at the beginning there is a lot of uncertainty and not all projects are
going to succeed. Trader will have greater earnings potential but also greater risk of failure (compared with mature projects). Everything is in balance.
I personally feel quite comfortable being early - that's why I also like to invest into startups. I value high earnings potential more than risk of being wrong.
Being early gives me some sort of price protection or margin of safety (check concept 'Margin of Safety' from book "Intelligent Investor - Benjamin Graham"). This will allow
me to deal with volatile price swings more easily.
I guess it's just like my personal trait. If you don't feel that way then it is perfectly fine. As I said earlier, you can be successful with different strategies.
Just find out what style suits you best.

Scale In & Scale Out

As I have longer view with my Crypto holdings I like to scale in with my buying. For me good entry points are after selloffs - as long as I have a belief that
general market structure has not changed.

I have my core positions that I will plan to hold for years but I also have other positions that I am willing to sell. I try to scale out from those positions
when market is rising to lock in some profit. Doing that will allow me to put some money aside and have gunpowder to buy more after
selloffs or fund new early stage projects.

This takes some practicing because sometimes market rises so nicely that trader feels like there is no point to sell until whole market is down ...
It is hard to predict those events and that's why I prefer to scale out. I try to play the long-term game and I don't have to do all my buying or selling
with one trade.

Liquidity Planning

Basically I will ride all the ups and downs (hold strategy) with my core positions but scale out (trading) from other positions. Then I have always some reserve
to add more during selloffs or to fund new projects. I try to plan ahead how much reserve money I need and make myself available to as many opportunities as possible.
For long time I underestimated Liquidity Planning's importance and that has caused me to sell many positions too early (or when conditions were not most favorable) - simply
because I did not led my cash flows.
I thought that I just 'flow' and find money when opportunities lie in front of me.

Final thoughts about Crypto markets - as Crypto is going more mainstream every year and probably there are some new market participants who have never experienced
this kind of selloff then just relax - this is not the first and not the last market selloff. Remember - usually when fear is greatest there are also some good
opportunities. People tend to forget that and only focus on risks.

If some mistakes were made during previous leg up then now is good time to learn and plan ahead. That's how we evolve as traders and humans :)

Thank you and enjoy your trading :)