7/21/24 - $googl - Considering long into EPS

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7/21/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: GOOGL
Considering long into EPS

- 30x PE but cagr'ing >20% (closer to 25%) in the coming 2Y, reasonable but not cheap
- don't love what the company stands for, but they're so entrenched. 6x EV/sales also reasonable
- presumably have an ai compute advantage from a. their scale users b. and their scale users data (the UGC that's not publicly searchable) and c. cost of capital/ borrow to invest at a higher level vs most remains convincing.
- the nasdaq sell off has yanked semis which has had a passive knock on everything else. meta and googl are not china-non-exposed, but certainly less so than many of the other co's that are in the cross hairs (sorry too soon lol).
- anyway. i'm considering a punt esp if we have a little dumparoo/ lighter tape to start the week.

lmk what you think. a beat could send this back to the $190 level and i think downside perhaps equally $8-10 but it gets bought and it's a stock where you could theoretically buy that dip and double trading size and pare losses with a retrace. if rallies, it could also continue on a hot tape.

have a good week everyone.

V

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