history doesn't repeat itself but it rhymes

Telah dikemas kini
Right now it comes to half of March and the roller coaster has been running all the way down to around 28500-29500, with big shake from session to session.

Have got a feeling that market will be set to kill the volatility bulls for the coming couple of days, before it decides which way to go (downward then most likely).

From day chart, interesting analogised pattern was spot.
Komen
Viewing my previous post to have some contextual understanding is advised.
Exhaustion Gap Confirmed
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
But personally think that chasing the bounce is risky.
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
If plan to short, better wait and see a few more sessions.
Komen
Price is keeping consolidating this morning, buying near 29k is seeming. Pretty good set up for a mark up in the short term.

In the option, yesterday saw substantial movement of profit taking (out flow of $48 mil 32000put expired in Jun).

Will update chart later today or this weekend.
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
Suggest buying here, but allow a little bit room as no one is here when this shaking will end.
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
Fiercely strong buying at the bottom this morning. Except re-testing of 28200
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat

Previous post as reference
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
They are dumping quite heavily this morning in 1-minute chart, although MFI is still dropping on daily chart
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat

Abnormal volume last night. For fear that the "EOM" pump is in play, I covered all shorts this morning..
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
Don't expect resistance is so strong here at 28.7k-28.8k. Close all my shorts
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
Oh lol...my data was lagged thanks to crappy tradingview. It did test and failed but rejection was not quite strong there in terms of volume.
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
cover all shorts first.
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
Anyway, algos govern the market most of the day. Should not have bothered with it for any time.

If it continues to mark up tonight or on Thursday, the next resistance shall be 28700, where they strongly sold last week. If the price could sustain at that level, I would consider stop loss there.
Komen
It seems promising for the bears so far. HSF May will be due next Friday. Am contemplating it will settle around 27200-26800, if today's mark down can be decisive. Will detail later.
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
To correct my mistakes, June may not settle at 27.2-26.8k, here is why
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Komen
syot kilat
Beyond Technical AnalysisHang Seng HSI vpa

Penafian