JPPOWER - Risky - Triangle BO -Wkly- Near Multiyear BO

4 Okt

JPPOWER -Risky bet -

The Jaiprakash Power Ventures Ltd. (JP Power) weekly chart shows significant bullish momentum after a prolonged period of accumulation. Here’s an analysis based on the chart you provided:

### 1. **Cup and Handle Formation**
- **Cup Formation (2017-2023)**: The chart clearly shows a large **cup pattern**, which is a bullish continuation pattern. It started forming around 2017 and completed in 2023. The depth of this cup indicates a long consolidation phase, with strong accumulation at lower levels.
- **Breakout**: JP Power broke out of the cup’s resistance around the ₹10.71 level, leading to a sharp upward move.

### 2. **Handle and Continuation**
- The handle formation was brief and followed by another breakout, confirming the strength of the pattern. The breakout from the handle shows increasing volumes, a strong bullish sign.

### 3. **Current Consolidation in Triangle**
- After the breakout, the stock is currently consolidating in a symmetrical **triangle pattern** between ₹16.63 and ₹23.78.
- **Support**: The lower bound of this triangle is around ₹16.63, which also coincides with a previous resistance level.
- **Resistance**: The upper bound of the triangle is near ₹23.78, which could act as the next resistance zone.
- A breakout above ₹23.78 could lead to a continuation of the bullish trend, possibly taking the stock higher.

### 4. **RSI and Momentum**
- The **RSI** (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom of the chart is hovering in the bullish range (above 50), but not yet in overbought territory. This indicates the stock still has room for upward movement.
- The recent bounce in RSI suggests that buyers are stepping in to support the stock at current levels.

### 5. **Volume Analysis**
- There is a noticeable increase in **volume** during the breakout phases, which indicates strong buying interest. The volume spikes during the key breakout confirm the strength of the move.

### 6. **Targets and Projections**
- The measured move from the **cup and handle** pattern, calculated from the depth of the cup (approximately ₹10.71), projects a potential upside target around ₹31.80 in the longer term, which aligns with a previous high seen in 2015.
- Near-term resistance levels could be ₹23.78 and ₹31.80 if the triangle breaks to the upside.
- Support levels: If the triangle breaks down, the stock might find support around ₹16.63 or even as low as ₹11.00.

### Conclusion:
- **Bullish Outlook**: The chart shows a long-term bullish trend, especially after the breakout from the cup and handle pattern. However, the stock is currently in a consolidation phase and traders should watch for a breakout above ₹23.78 for further bullish confirmation.
- **Risk Management**: Key support levels to monitor are ₹16.63 and ₹11.00 in case of any pullbacks.