Yesterday (Oct 2, 2025) was supposed to be the big day for the Canary Funds 
LTC ETF. With the government shutdown stalling agencies, the SEC didn’t issue an approval, so the “event” turned into a non-event. Meanwhile seasonality kicked in—Q4 is often bullish—and we got the standard “new month/new quarter” squeeze across crypto. LTC tagged ~$122, then started giving it back. We’re roughly ~6% off the spike already as late longs get forced out.
Here’s how I see it:
Higher time frames look constructive. On the 4H/D1 charts, structure shows a bullish reversal after August’s washout. Price held the daily 200 EMA near $100 on the last retest and pushed up cleanly. That’s the anchor for any continued upside.
Lower time frames need a reset. On the 1H, this was a textbook overextension. I’m expecting mean reversion back toward the 1H 200 EMA / prior breakout before any sustainable leg higher. Don’t get bullish into the wick highs—wait for pullbacks.
Levels I’m watching
Support: $108–$105 first, then the $100–$95 zone (daily 200 EMA). Lose that area with acceptance and LTC can do what it loves—round-trip—bringing $80 → $70–$65 back into view.
Resistance: $122–$125 intraday supply, then the $135–$140 pocket near the descending trendline. A clean break/hold above $140 opens the door to $150.
Bottom line: Short-term, I’m bearish into a pullback as price reverts toward the mean. On 4H/D1, I’m still bullish as long as $100–$95 holds—if we base there, I like the $140 magnet later this quarter. Just remember: Litecoin is notorious for mean-reverting. Trade the pullbacks; don’t chase the spikes.
LTC ETF. With the government shutdown stalling agencies, the SEC didn’t issue an approval, so the “event” turned into a non-event. Meanwhile seasonality kicked in—Q4 is often bullish—and we got the standard “new month/new quarter” squeeze across crypto. LTC tagged ~$122, then started giving it back. We’re roughly ~6% off the spike already as late longs get forced out.Here’s how I see it:
Higher time frames look constructive. On the 4H/D1 charts, structure shows a bullish reversal after August’s washout. Price held the daily 200 EMA near $100 on the last retest and pushed up cleanly. That’s the anchor for any continued upside.
Lower time frames need a reset. On the 1H, this was a textbook overextension. I’m expecting mean reversion back toward the 1H 200 EMA / prior breakout before any sustainable leg higher. Don’t get bullish into the wick highs—wait for pullbacks.
Levels I’m watching
Support: $108–$105 first, then the $100–$95 zone (daily 200 EMA). Lose that area with acceptance and LTC can do what it loves—round-trip—bringing $80 → $70–$65 back into view.
Resistance: $122–$125 intraday supply, then the $135–$140 pocket near the descending trendline. A clean break/hold above $140 opens the door to $150.
Bottom line: Short-term, I’m bearish into a pullback as price reverts toward the mean. On 4H/D1, I’m still bullish as long as $100–$95 holds—if we base there, I like the $140 magnet later this quarter. Just remember: Litecoin is notorious for mean-reverting. Trade the pullbacks; don’t chase the spikes.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.