Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H Timeframe

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Here’s a professional technical breakdown of the US100 Cash CFD (1H timeframe) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX indicators:

1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)

a) Volume Profile Insights:

Value Area High (VAH): 19,979.00

Value Area Low (VAL): 19,845.22

Point of Control (POC):

Recent POC: 19,979.52

Prior POC: 19,845.22

High-volume nodes: Clearly seen around 19,845 and 19,880–19,980, indicating buyer-seller equilibrium.

Low-volume gaps: Between 19,900–19,950 and below 19,800–19,700 — price can move fast through these zones.

b) Liquidity Zones:

Stops Likely Clustered:

Above 20,000 (psychological + prior swing high)

Below 19,800 (swing low and zone of previous rejection)

Absorption Zones:

Notable delta-based absorption occurred around 19,845 and 19,880 zones, indicating institutional activity.

c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:

Swing High (with spike): 19,980–20,000 (strong volume + reversal candle).

Swing Low (with spike): 19,845 zone, also aligns with historical POC, confirming strong defense.

d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:

Trend Direction: Range-bound to Bearish bias

ADX Strength:

ADX is hovering near 20, not confirming a strong trend.

DI- > DI+ suggests slight downward pressure.

CVD Confirmation:

Flat to slightly falling CVD with price stalling = Supply is outweighing demand, slight bearish bias.

2. Support & Resistance Levels

a) Volume-Based Levels:

Support:

19,845.22 (POC + VAL)

19,800 (swing low and absorption)

Resistance:

19,979.52 (POC)

20,000 (psychological + rejection zone)

b) Gann-Based Levels:

Confirmed Swing High: 20,000

Confirmed Swing Low: 19,845

Key Retracements (From 19,845 to 20,000):

1/2: 19,922

1/3: 19,896

2/3: 19,969

3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure

a) Trend: Range-bound to Slightly Bearish

Price is stuck between 19,845–19,979 with no clear breakout or breakdown.

b) Notable Patterns:

Horizontal consolidation forming after a failed breakout near 20,000.

Bearish bias is developing with failure to hold above POC.

Watch for breakout from the descending triangle setup forming.

4. Trade Setup & Risk Management

a) Bullish Entry (Only if breakout above resistance):

Entry Zone: 19,985–20,000 (break + retest)

Targets:

T1: 20,100

T2: 20,300

Stop-Loss (SL): 19,940 (below breakout level)

RR: Minimum 1:2

b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):

Entry Zone: 19,845–19,860 (retest of support failure)

Target:

T1: 19,700

Stop-Loss (SL): 19,980

RR: Minimum 1:2

c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.

Penafian

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