Weakness in Bullish momentum. Did we see the top for Nasdaq?

28 Jan

Lets look at DXY

Currently with a Bullish structure and slow build up Long.
Seems it is attempting to reach that Monthly Area low.

Bullish Dollar=Bearish Equities....Right?

Well this has not been the case these particular past couple of weeks.
We have not seen with clarity the inverse correlation between DXY and Equities. In fact everything has been manipulated up.
Yes! I wrote manipulated do not get hung up on the word.

Back to Indices.
NQ1!
ES1!
YM1!

These have a strong Bullish structure. NQ is showing signs of repricing with this pullback.
-Is it sufficient to slow down current Bullish momentum?
-Is NQ leading the indices in a reversal?

These are all valid questions, yet we do not have enough data to validate either or.
Bearish Equities seasonality could have kicked in.
This is the week of confirmation or at the very least for price to provide some sort of hint.

My targets for NQ providing price action confirms it are either a repricing to 17107.25 or a break of Highs.
-If we take out lows first then I would expect price to rally once again and make another attempt at Highs.
-An attempt at highs at the beginning of the week will look favorable for the Bears salivating over the Volume Void right at 17107.25
Here is a view of Weekly Charts for:
ES

YM

NQ

30 Jan

Nota

This is why if you are undesided you stay away.
4H VAL we spoke about had plenty of juice left

30 Jan

Nota

31 Jan

Nota

Now that we have closed below the 4H area that offered support will look for 17116 to pull price towards this area there is a small gap between the opening days and more often than not price seems to target this areas of interest

31 Jan

Nota

Beautiful delivery
We have not reached our weekly low yet

1 Feb

Nota

We have gravitated towards this ideas low price 17116
Expecting to see a bit of retracement pre market. A faint up and then the delivery of downside continuation we are expecting.

1 Feb

Nota

Did not think this was possible
It goes to show that only Price action matters
that was a quick rebalance will watch to see if its business as ussuall

2 Feb

Nota

A Beautiful sight

2 Feb

Nota

Can the Bears defend?

2 Feb

Nota

Perfect example of price momentum and in a higher time frame

2 Feb

Nota

NFP what can happen?
With yesterdays post market push higher we could expect some of that sentiment to carry price slightly higher.
Why do I say slightly? We are unable to gauge at this point if that euphoric momentum will last.
Since price teleported right into a 4H of interest this will be the key level we will look at.
NFP could initially fake the upside. ??
Yes they could induce more frantic buying in order to then sell aiming for a far away low.
If we reach lower first we do have a couple of pivot points of interest where I would consider a buy with aims for a higher High.
Due to the increased and strong volatility it is best to reduce risk in this environment or avoid if possible. Tomorrow never dies neither does price action
17494 looks like a great reload point for the longs.

Just wait till NFP is done and 10 minutes after look for direction

2 Feb

Nota

Ready for a High of Week on a Friday afternoon?

2 Feb

Nota

Oh the suspense!

3 Feb

Nota

This coming Monday Feb 5th does not have any impactful news.
Allow price to roam-meaning it could be an indecisive day be the spectator

3 Feb

Nota

4 Feb

Nota

Waiting on Movement will update on Monday afternoon or Tuesday morning

5 Feb

Nota

I will start looking at other setups this has the vague air of chop
Expecting price to range. Hope I am wrong
My involvement depends on range. I dislike small ranges and will just watch till I see different.

6 Feb

Nota

17793 should go before anything else

6 Feb

Nota

Well the range is set

7 Feb

Nota

When they love the suspense this is what you get

7 Feb

Nota

Looks like we are in for a brief correction.
I will add that this does not look like a top formation and we will revisit

7 Feb

Nota

Correction denied for now
Aiming for High of week

7 Feb

Nota

Incoming!!

7 Feb

Nota

This is now ATH
The FOMO starts and so does the fun

7 Feb

Nota

Wide open skies for now.
Do not get caught up trying to time the top, ride with momentum.
The trend is your friend!

7 Feb

Nota

Bullish structure with a strong upside break
What more could you ask for...
wait maybe some consolidation before another leg?

A note ES has yet to reach its highs at 5028

8 Feb

Nota

Bullish structure intact
Those that attempt to short this long term before a structure shift risk getting crushed.
I am expecting a brief pull back to this level and from there monitor price to determine what's next.

8 Feb

Nota

Did I get too carried away with the depth of the rebalance. It might be so

8 Feb

Nota

Clean upside continuation here

8 Feb

Nota

We are closing with a bit of weakness but overall bullish
The structure is intact

8 Feb

Nota

Stage is set

9 Feb

Nota

Not a single reason to short this

9 Feb

Nota

It is what it is till its not

9 Feb

Nota

If you follow the flow you will be aright
The trend is your friend LOL

9 Feb

Nota

12 Feb

Nota

Please remember that we have bullish weekly momentum
What this means is that you could see a retracement or a weekly low formed on Monday-Tuesday in order to give you a weekly high Wednesday-Thursday

12 Feb

Nota

Do not fight momentum.
Follow Price Action

12 Feb

Nota

Expected retracement Area 17971

12 Feb

Nota

12 Feb

Nota

Keep eyes open for possible low of Day

12 Feb

Nota

My target might have been a bit conservative

13 Feb

Nota

A little deeper than expected
but as I noted above my idea is for a overall bullish week or the formation of a wick for the weekly candle.
This will set us up with a Bearish Monday-Tuesday in order to create a weekly high on Wednesday-Thursday

13 Feb

Nota

As I wrote yesterday i was looking for:
"you could see a retracement or a weekly low formed on Monday-Tuesday in order to give you a weekly high Wednesday-Thursday"
Was not expecting such a deep retracement tho.
Unless we continue to push lower with strength we could still see the possibility of the expected weekly model.
Still the downside strength is undeniable. I would not recoment a short from here but wait for a retracement.

13 Feb

Nota

13 Feb

Nota

We referenced the top of this Daily Gap earlier today
Going back with strength for another touch

13 Feb

Nota

Looks like we have purged the downside and are within our Bearish Monday-Tuesday model

14 Feb

Nota

Do not worry about the Highs...
They will be there when we get back

14 Feb

Nota

14 Feb

Nota

14 Feb

Nota

14 Feb

Nota

I'm ready to start another thread same idea on NQ but fresh.
What do you think?
Leave a comment and a like.
Unless you want to keep all in one place.
Let me know?
--------------------------------------------
In the mean time are you ready?

15 Feb

Nota

15 Feb

Nota

A quick retracement during news before we continue is acceptable

15 Feb

Nota

15 Feb

Nota

Well...Well

15 Feb

Nota

15 Feb

Nota

15 Feb

Nota

16 Feb

Nota

16 Feb

Nota

Do not get caught up in the short
it will be brief

Skies the limit

16 Feb

Nota

16 Feb

Nota

16 Feb

Nota

19 Feb

Nota

Nothing to see...

20 Feb

Nota

Hold on...
I told you not to worry about Highs for now

20 Feb

Nota

20 Feb

Nota

20 Feb

Nota

20 Feb

Nota

20 Feb

Nota

The games we play...

20 Feb

Nota

21 Feb

Nota

21 Feb

Nota

No repricing today straight pull...

21 Feb

Nota

22 Feb

Nota

22 Feb

Nota

Oh I know you are tired of me but....
here we are

22 Feb

Nota

Surprise

22 Feb

Nota

22 Feb

Nota

22 Feb

Nota

Just WOW

23 Feb

Nota

OK lets go downtown for a bit

23 Feb

Nota

23 Feb

Nota

23 Feb

Nota

A great day to do something else....

24 Feb

Nota

26 Feb

Nota

26 Feb

Nota

Accumulation after taking a major high is normal

26 Feb

Nota

26 Feb

Nota

26 Feb

Nota

26 Feb

Nota

A bit of accumulation....
This was expected

26 Feb

Nota

27 Feb

Nota

27 Feb

Nota

Price momentum carried price Higher on Monday. At least it kept within range.
Expecting price to attempt to take yesterdays highs.
Failure to hold this will result in a downside rebalancing-NOT A FLUSH!
If Mondays Highs are held then you can expect for prev highs to be next target.
I would still like to see some sort of rebalancing down at the beginning of week. Yet we have a few days remaining in Feb and price needs to deliver.

27 Feb

Nota

27 Feb

Nota

Do we test lower band of range now?

27 Feb

Nota

27 Feb

Nota

27 Feb

Nota

27 Feb

Nota

Allow price to go thru its motions

28 Feb

Nota

Still in tight accumulation...Notice the Fair Value lower band (Ranges'Low)
How it is being respected

28 Feb

Nota

Small Value area shift

28 Feb

Nota

If you are impatient then do not even look at this...
Come back tomorrow

29 Feb

Nota

We are still not done this is the last day of Feb the monthly profile needs to be completed

29 Feb

Nota

We came up short in the attempt to reach for highs

29 Feb

Nota

Well well we are up for another attempt

29 Feb

Nota

1 Mac

Nota

NQ has closed the month of Feb and so will this thread

1 Mac

Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai