🔎 Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTF & ITF)
HTF (Yearly, Half-Yearly, Quarterly):
All demand zones are UP and supportive, with strong demand averages around 5601 (well below CMP/entry). This gives long-term cushion.
MTF (Monthly, Weekly, Daily):
Demand zones cluster between 7368–8661 with averages around 8043, perfectly aligned with your entry 8661.
ITF (60M–240M):
All demand confirmation zones around 8115–7933, matching the stop loss (SL 7933). Strong confluence here.
Conclusion:
Trend is intact UP across HTF, MTF, ITF → high-probability continuation setup.
🎯 Trade Plan Highlights
Entry: 8661
Stop Loss (SL): 7933 (−728 points, ~8% downside)
Target: 10,499 (+1838 points, ~21% upside)
Risk–Reward (RR): ~2.5 (good quality)
Position Size: 600 qty (total buy value ≈ ₹51.96L)
Capital Utilized (65% MTF): ₹18.19L
📊 Profitability Check
Gross Profit if Target Hits: ₹11.02L
Brokerage & Taxes: ~₹25.5K (0.49%)
Net Profit: ~₹10.77L
Net Risk: ~₹4.62L
Net RR: 2.33 → very healthy
⏳ ROI & Holding Period
Expected Timeline: ~4 months (MTF horizon)
Net ROI (4 months): ~53% on deployed capital
Annualized Interest Impact: Negligible (0.03% per day, ~9.7% p.a.)
Adjusted ROI after cost of capital: ~53% (still excellent)
⚠️ Key Watchpoints
Entry Zone Sensitivity:
Entry (8661) is near upper end of demand cluster. If price dips closer to 8200–8300 (weekly demand), risk reduces.
You may stagger buys → 50% at 8661, 50% near 8300 if given.
Stop Loss:
SL at 7933 is strong, but consider soft SL at 8024 (ITF avg) for partial exit to reduce drawdown.
Upside Confirmation:
Last High: 9771 → needs breakout to sustain momentum toward 10,499.
If reversal candle forms near 9700–9800, trail SL to cost to protect capital.
Capital Efficiency:
With ₹18.19L deployed, ROI is great. But ensure not more than 20–25% of portfolio in a single trade due to volatility.
✅ Summary:
This OFSS trade plan is solid with multi-timeframe confluence, strong RR (2.3+), and high ROI (53% in 4 months). Only tweak: stagger entry to reduce risk and trail SL once price crosses 9700+.
Do you want me to also build a scenario table (like: Early Exit at 9700, Full Target 10,499, SL hit at 7933) showing Profit/Loss outcomes with ROI %?
HTF (Yearly, Half-Yearly, Quarterly):
All demand zones are UP and supportive, with strong demand averages around 5601 (well below CMP/entry). This gives long-term cushion.
MTF (Monthly, Weekly, Daily):
Demand zones cluster between 7368–8661 with averages around 8043, perfectly aligned with your entry 8661.
ITF (60M–240M):
All demand confirmation zones around 8115–7933, matching the stop loss (SL 7933). Strong confluence here.
Conclusion:
Trend is intact UP across HTF, MTF, ITF → high-probability continuation setup.
🎯 Trade Plan Highlights
Entry: 8661
Stop Loss (SL): 7933 (−728 points, ~8% downside)
Target: 10,499 (+1838 points, ~21% upside)
Risk–Reward (RR): ~2.5 (good quality)
Position Size: 600 qty (total buy value ≈ ₹51.96L)
Capital Utilized (65% MTF): ₹18.19L
📊 Profitability Check
Gross Profit if Target Hits: ₹11.02L
Brokerage & Taxes: ~₹25.5K (0.49%)
Net Profit: ~₹10.77L
Net Risk: ~₹4.62L
Net RR: 2.33 → very healthy
⏳ ROI & Holding Period
Expected Timeline: ~4 months (MTF horizon)
Net ROI (4 months): ~53% on deployed capital
Annualized Interest Impact: Negligible (0.03% per day, ~9.7% p.a.)
Adjusted ROI after cost of capital: ~53% (still excellent)
⚠️ Key Watchpoints
Entry Zone Sensitivity:
Entry (8661) is near upper end of demand cluster. If price dips closer to 8200–8300 (weekly demand), risk reduces.
You may stagger buys → 50% at 8661, 50% near 8300 if given.
Stop Loss:
SL at 7933 is strong, but consider soft SL at 8024 (ITF avg) for partial exit to reduce drawdown.
Upside Confirmation:
Last High: 9771 → needs breakout to sustain momentum toward 10,499.
If reversal candle forms near 9700–9800, trail SL to cost to protect capital.
Capital Efficiency:
With ₹18.19L deployed, ROI is great. But ensure not more than 20–25% of portfolio in a single trade due to volatility.
✅ Summary:
This OFSS trade plan is solid with multi-timeframe confluence, strong RR (2.3+), and high ROI (53% in 4 months). Only tweak: stagger entry to reduce risk and trail SL once price crosses 9700+.
Do you want me to also build a scenario table (like: Early Exit at 9700, Full Target 10,499, SL hit at 7933) showing Profit/Loss outcomes with ROI %?
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.