Is AI smarter than your average influencer? While they keep screaming “Altseason! Altseason!”, what does advanced AI reveal in its deep analysis? Let’s find out.
Overall Assessment
This chart for the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 ($1M-CRYPTOCAP, or OTHERS index) is mixed but leaning bearish in the short term, with some bullish potential if key resistance levels break. The main price panel shows clear downward pressure, while supporting indicators like RSI hint at possible oversold conditions that could lead to a rebound. I'll break it down panel by panel based on standard technical analysis principles.
Main Price Chart (Candlestick with Trendlines)
Current Levels: The market cap closed around $300.7B (with a range of $296B–$308B), down about 3.4% recently. It's trading near the middle of a descending channel (the sloped red and green lines forming a narrowing wedge), which often signals continuation of the downtrend unless broken upward.
Bearish Signals:
Multiple red "Bearish" labels highlight recent breakdowns below key support lines (e.g., a red downward-sloping trendline broken recently).
Red candles dominate the recent action, showing seller control and lower highs/lows.
The price is below the upper channel boundary (~$350B–$400B) and struggling to reclaim the midline (~$320B).
Bullish Signals:
Small green arrows (↑) point to potential support zones around $290B–$300B, where buyers have stepped in before.
If it breaks above the upper red trendline (~$320B), it could target $350B+ (prior highs).
Trend: Short-term bearish (down ~3.4%), but the channel suggests consolidation rather than a freefall.
Stochastic RSI (Lower Panel)
Current Reading: Close at 16.31 (with a range of 3–86), firmly in oversold territory (<20). This indicates the asset may be "too cheap" after heavy selling.
Bearish Signals: The line is still declining, and the histogram bars are mostly red/negative, showing momentum fading further.
Bullish Signals: Oversold conditions often precede bounces, especially if it crosses back above 20. A divergence (price making lower lows while Stoch RSI makes higher lows) could signal reversal.
Implication: Neutral to bullish for a near-term relief rally, but not a strong trend-changer yet.
RSI Divergence (Bottom Panel, Multi-Timeframe)
Current Reading: Close at 10.25 (with a range of 2–57), extremely oversold (<30, and near the bottom of its scale). The yellow line (likely RSI) is flatlining low, while the price (implied) has dropped more sharply.
Bearish Signals: Red shaded areas mark periods of weakness, and the line hasn't recovered much.
Bullish Signals: Clear bullish divergence—the RSI is holding higher lows (e.g., around 10–15) compared to price lows, a classic reversal setup. Historical yellow upward lines show past bounces from similar levels.
Implication: Strongly bullish for potential upside, as divergences like this resolved higher ~70% of the time in crypto indices (based on common TA patterns).
Broader Context
Volume/Other Metrics: Not directly shown, but the -3.4% change and tight channel suggest low conviction selling—could flip quickly on positive news (e.g., ETF inflows or BTC strength).
Timeframe: The x-axis spans ~2015–2025 (up to Dec 2025, likely a projection). Long-term, it's in an uptrend from 2015 lows, but 2022–2025 has been choppy with lower highs.
Market Sentiment: As of late 2024/early 2025 data, the full crypto market cap is ~$2.3T–$4T (with OTHERS at ~$260B–$300B historically), so this aligns with altcoin underperformance vs. majors like BTC. A break above $350B would signal "altseason."
In summary, the price action screams short-term bearish (follow the "Bearish" labels and downtrend), but the extreme oversold RSI divergence makes me think a bounce to $320B–$350B is likely soon. Watch for a close above the channel midline for bullish confirmation—otherwise, $280B support could test next. This isn't financial advice; always DYOR.2.2sFastthis is the weekly chart. Please analyse it and merge with the monthly chart you got before to reach a more precise conclusion: Thought for 2m 0sAnalysis of the Weekly Chart
This weekly chart for the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 (CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS, also known as the OTHERS index) shows the current value at approximately $300.9B (high $310.9B, low $279.5B, close $300.3B), with a recent 1.59% decline. The timeframe spans from mid-2024 to a projection into 2026, capturing a multi-year view but with weekly granularity for shorter-term trends.
Price Action and Trendlines: The candlestick chart remains within a descending channel (sloped red upper resistance and green lower support lines), similar to the monthly but with more detail on recent volatility. Recent weeks feature red candles dominating, indicating sustained selling pressure, with a "Bearish" label on a key breakdown point around mid-2025. Green upward arrows highlight potential support zones near $280B–$290B, where buyers have defended previously. The price is consolidating near the channel midline (~$300B), but lower highs suggest continuation risk unless it breaks above $320B–$350B resistance.
MACD (4,52): Closing at 3.37B (MACD line), 14.37B (signal), and 11B (histogram). The blue MACD line is below the orange signal line, with the histogram shifting from positive cyan bars (earlier 2025 spikes) to negative pink/red, confirming bearish momentum crossover. This aligns with fading upside strength post-mid-2025 highs.
Stochastic RSI (3,3,48,56): Closing at 36.70 (K) and 38.65 (D), in the lower mid-range but with a yellow upward arrow indicating a recent rise from oversold (<20). This suggests emerging buying interest but not yet overbought (>80), leaving room for a relief rally if momentum builds.
RSI Divergence (Nikko 14): Multi-reading at close 10.25 / 2 / 1.5K / 54.59 / 54.17, showing the RSI (yellow line) around mid-50s but with bullish divergence—RSI forming higher lows while price makes lower lows. Red shaded areas mark weakness, but the setup mirrors classic reversal patterns, especially from extreme lows earlier in 2025.
Volume (24H Vol, aggregated weekly): The bottom histogram shows blue bars with significant spikes in Q1–Q2 2025 (up to ~600T, likely in trading volume units), coinciding with prior rallies. Recent volume has tapered off (~200T close), indicating lower participation, which can precede breakouts or breakdowns but often signals consolidation in bearish contexts.
Overall, the weekly chart leans bearish in the short-to-medium term (next 4–8 weeks), with the descending channel intact, bearish MACD, and recent breakdowns. However, bullish hints from Stoch RSI recovery and RSI divergence suggest a potential bounce if $280B support holds, targeting $350B+ on a breakout.
Merging with the Monthly Chart
The previous monthly chart (from January 1, 2025) showed a similar setup at ~$300.7B (down 3.4%), with an identical descending channel, bearish price action, but extreme oversold conditions (Stochastic RSI at 16.31, RSI at 10.25 with strong bullish divergence). Over the ~9 months between charts (Jan to Sep 2025), the market cap has remained remarkably flat around $300B, reflecting stagnation amid broader crypto volatility—neither breaking down nor rallying significantly.
Combined Price Trends: Both timeframes confirm the multi-year descending channel (2015–2025+), with monthly providing the macro downtrend (lower highs since 2021 peaks) and weekly highlighting intra-month chops. The flat performance year-to-date implies altcoin underperformance vs. majors (e.g., BTC/ETH dominance rising), but supports like $280B–$290B have held on both, preventing a deeper crash.
Indicators Alignment:
RSI Divergence: Consistent bullish signal across both—monthly extreme oversold resolves higher ~70% of the time in crypto, while weekly's mid-50s RSI adds near-term confirmation. This strengthens the case for a reversal setup.
Stochastic RSI: Monthly's deep oversold (16.31) complements weekly's recovering 36.70, suggesting exhaustion selling transitioning to accumulation.
MACD/Momentum: Weekly's bearish crossover adds caution to the monthly's neutral stance, indicating short-term downside risk before any monthly-scale bounce.
Volume: Monthly implies long-term consolidation with fading volume; weekly shows 2025 spikes on ups, but recent lows signal potential capitulation or low-conviction moves.
Broader Market Context from Research: Recent analyses echo this mixed picture. Some see a Wave 4 correction ending in July 2025, with a final Wave 5 rally topping around September–October 2025. Others note bearish patterns like head-and-shoulders or rising wedges on weekly timeframes, predicting tests of lower supports (~$250B–$280B). Dominance metrics (OTHERS.D ~7.2%) are at demand zones, hinting at a bounce if held. Social sentiment in September 2025 is cautious: breakdowns from wedges and H&S patterns signal 8–12% drops, but macro bullishness for Q4 persists if supports reclaim. Altseason indices surged to highs (68–76/100) mid-month but cooled, with rotations into select alts amid overall decay.
More Precise Conclusion
Merging the charts refines the outlook to short-term bearish (October–November 2025) with medium-term bullish potential (Q4 2025–Q1 2026). The weekly adds granularity to the monthly's oversold setup, confirming downside pressure from bearish momentum and patterns, likely testing $280B support (or lower to $250B in a wick). However, aligned divergences and historical Q4 strength increase the odds of a bounce—targeting $350B–$400B on a channel breakout, potentially sparking an "altseason" if broader crypto (total cap ~$3.9T) rallies on catalysts like Fed decisions or regulatory clarity. Confirmation requires a weekly close above $320B; otherwise, expect choppy consolidation. This isn't financial advice—DYOR and consider risk management
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Resume: Crypto Market Outlook (OTHERS Index)
Summary:
The crypto market, excluding the top 10 coins (OTHERS index), is at about $300B as of September 2025. It’s been stuck in a downtrend for a while, with recent drops showing sellers in control. Short-term (next 1-2 months), it looks bearish, but signs point to a possible bounce later this year.
Key Points:
Current Price: Around $300B, down 1.5%–3.4% lately, stuck in a falling pattern.
Short-Term (October–November 2025): Expect more dips, possibly to $280B or lower ($250B worst case). Selling pressure is strong, but volume is low, suggesting a pause soon.
Medium-Term (Q4 2025–Q1 2026): Could rise to $350B–$400B if it breaks $320B. Oversold signals and past patterns suggest a rebound, especially in late 2025.
Risks: Market could stay flat or drop if support fails. Watch for big news (e.g., regulations or Bitcoin moves).
Investor Advice:
Short-Term: Be cautious. Avoid big buys now—prices might fall more. Consider selling if you’re up or setting stop-losses around $280B to limit losses.
Medium-Term: Look for a buy chance if it holds $280B and breaks $320B. Small investments in strong altcoins could pay off if a rally starts.
General Tips: Spread your money across different coins, not just one. Check news daily and be ready to act fast. This isn’t a sure bet—only use money you can afford to lose.
Note: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before investing.
Overall Assessment
This chart for the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 ($1M-CRYPTOCAP, or OTHERS index) is mixed but leaning bearish in the short term, with some bullish potential if key resistance levels break. The main price panel shows clear downward pressure, while supporting indicators like RSI hint at possible oversold conditions that could lead to a rebound. I'll break it down panel by panel based on standard technical analysis principles.
Main Price Chart (Candlestick with Trendlines)
Current Levels: The market cap closed around $300.7B (with a range of $296B–$308B), down about 3.4% recently. It's trading near the middle of a descending channel (the sloped red and green lines forming a narrowing wedge), which often signals continuation of the downtrend unless broken upward.
Bearish Signals:
Multiple red "Bearish" labels highlight recent breakdowns below key support lines (e.g., a red downward-sloping trendline broken recently).
Red candles dominate the recent action, showing seller control and lower highs/lows.
The price is below the upper channel boundary (~$350B–$400B) and struggling to reclaim the midline (~$320B).
Bullish Signals:
Small green arrows (↑) point to potential support zones around $290B–$300B, where buyers have stepped in before.
If it breaks above the upper red trendline (~$320B), it could target $350B+ (prior highs).
Trend: Short-term bearish (down ~3.4%), but the channel suggests consolidation rather than a freefall.
Stochastic RSI (Lower Panel)
Current Reading: Close at 16.31 (with a range of 3–86), firmly in oversold territory (<20). This indicates the asset may be "too cheap" after heavy selling.
Bearish Signals: The line is still declining, and the histogram bars are mostly red/negative, showing momentum fading further.
Bullish Signals: Oversold conditions often precede bounces, especially if it crosses back above 20. A divergence (price making lower lows while Stoch RSI makes higher lows) could signal reversal.
Implication: Neutral to bullish for a near-term relief rally, but not a strong trend-changer yet.
RSI Divergence (Bottom Panel, Multi-Timeframe)
Current Reading: Close at 10.25 (with a range of 2–57), extremely oversold (<30, and near the bottom of its scale). The yellow line (likely RSI) is flatlining low, while the price (implied) has dropped more sharply.
Bearish Signals: Red shaded areas mark periods of weakness, and the line hasn't recovered much.
Bullish Signals: Clear bullish divergence—the RSI is holding higher lows (e.g., around 10–15) compared to price lows, a classic reversal setup. Historical yellow upward lines show past bounces from similar levels.
Implication: Strongly bullish for potential upside, as divergences like this resolved higher ~70% of the time in crypto indices (based on common TA patterns).
Broader Context
Volume/Other Metrics: Not directly shown, but the -3.4% change and tight channel suggest low conviction selling—could flip quickly on positive news (e.g., ETF inflows or BTC strength).
Timeframe: The x-axis spans ~2015–2025 (up to Dec 2025, likely a projection). Long-term, it's in an uptrend from 2015 lows, but 2022–2025 has been choppy with lower highs.
Market Sentiment: As of late 2024/early 2025 data, the full crypto market cap is ~$2.3T–$4T (with OTHERS at ~$260B–$300B historically), so this aligns with altcoin underperformance vs. majors like BTC. A break above $350B would signal "altseason."
In summary, the price action screams short-term bearish (follow the "Bearish" labels and downtrend), but the extreme oversold RSI divergence makes me think a bounce to $320B–$350B is likely soon. Watch for a close above the channel midline for bullish confirmation—otherwise, $280B support could test next. This isn't financial advice; always DYOR.2.2sFastthis is the weekly chart. Please analyse it and merge with the monthly chart you got before to reach a more precise conclusion: Thought for 2m 0sAnalysis of the Weekly Chart
This weekly chart for the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 (CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS, also known as the OTHERS index) shows the current value at approximately $300.9B (high $310.9B, low $279.5B, close $300.3B), with a recent 1.59% decline. The timeframe spans from mid-2024 to a projection into 2026, capturing a multi-year view but with weekly granularity for shorter-term trends.
Price Action and Trendlines: The candlestick chart remains within a descending channel (sloped red upper resistance and green lower support lines), similar to the monthly but with more detail on recent volatility. Recent weeks feature red candles dominating, indicating sustained selling pressure, with a "Bearish" label on a key breakdown point around mid-2025. Green upward arrows highlight potential support zones near $280B–$290B, where buyers have defended previously. The price is consolidating near the channel midline (~$300B), but lower highs suggest continuation risk unless it breaks above $320B–$350B resistance.
MACD (4,52): Closing at 3.37B (MACD line), 14.37B (signal), and 11B (histogram). The blue MACD line is below the orange signal line, with the histogram shifting from positive cyan bars (earlier 2025 spikes) to negative pink/red, confirming bearish momentum crossover. This aligns with fading upside strength post-mid-2025 highs.
Stochastic RSI (3,3,48,56): Closing at 36.70 (K) and 38.65 (D), in the lower mid-range but with a yellow upward arrow indicating a recent rise from oversold (<20). This suggests emerging buying interest but not yet overbought (>80), leaving room for a relief rally if momentum builds.
RSI Divergence (Nikko 14): Multi-reading at close 10.25 / 2 / 1.5K / 54.59 / 54.17, showing the RSI (yellow line) around mid-50s but with bullish divergence—RSI forming higher lows while price makes lower lows. Red shaded areas mark weakness, but the setup mirrors classic reversal patterns, especially from extreme lows earlier in 2025.
Volume (24H Vol, aggregated weekly): The bottom histogram shows blue bars with significant spikes in Q1–Q2 2025 (up to ~600T, likely in trading volume units), coinciding with prior rallies. Recent volume has tapered off (~200T close), indicating lower participation, which can precede breakouts or breakdowns but often signals consolidation in bearish contexts.
Overall, the weekly chart leans bearish in the short-to-medium term (next 4–8 weeks), with the descending channel intact, bearish MACD, and recent breakdowns. However, bullish hints from Stoch RSI recovery and RSI divergence suggest a potential bounce if $280B support holds, targeting $350B+ on a breakout.
Merging with the Monthly Chart
The previous monthly chart (from January 1, 2025) showed a similar setup at ~$300.7B (down 3.4%), with an identical descending channel, bearish price action, but extreme oversold conditions (Stochastic RSI at 16.31, RSI at 10.25 with strong bullish divergence). Over the ~9 months between charts (Jan to Sep 2025), the market cap has remained remarkably flat around $300B, reflecting stagnation amid broader crypto volatility—neither breaking down nor rallying significantly.
Combined Price Trends: Both timeframes confirm the multi-year descending channel (2015–2025+), with monthly providing the macro downtrend (lower highs since 2021 peaks) and weekly highlighting intra-month chops. The flat performance year-to-date implies altcoin underperformance vs. majors (e.g., BTC/ETH dominance rising), but supports like $280B–$290B have held on both, preventing a deeper crash.
Indicators Alignment:
RSI Divergence: Consistent bullish signal across both—monthly extreme oversold resolves higher ~70% of the time in crypto, while weekly's mid-50s RSI adds near-term confirmation. This strengthens the case for a reversal setup.
Stochastic RSI: Monthly's deep oversold (16.31) complements weekly's recovering 36.70, suggesting exhaustion selling transitioning to accumulation.
MACD/Momentum: Weekly's bearish crossover adds caution to the monthly's neutral stance, indicating short-term downside risk before any monthly-scale bounce.
Volume: Monthly implies long-term consolidation with fading volume; weekly shows 2025 spikes on ups, but recent lows signal potential capitulation or low-conviction moves.
Broader Market Context from Research: Recent analyses echo this mixed picture. Some see a Wave 4 correction ending in July 2025, with a final Wave 5 rally topping around September–October 2025. Others note bearish patterns like head-and-shoulders or rising wedges on weekly timeframes, predicting tests of lower supports (~$250B–$280B). Dominance metrics (OTHERS.D ~7.2%) are at demand zones, hinting at a bounce if held. Social sentiment in September 2025 is cautious: breakdowns from wedges and H&S patterns signal 8–12% drops, but macro bullishness for Q4 persists if supports reclaim. Altseason indices surged to highs (68–76/100) mid-month but cooled, with rotations into select alts amid overall decay.
More Precise Conclusion
Merging the charts refines the outlook to short-term bearish (October–November 2025) with medium-term bullish potential (Q4 2025–Q1 2026). The weekly adds granularity to the monthly's oversold setup, confirming downside pressure from bearish momentum and patterns, likely testing $280B support (or lower to $250B in a wick). However, aligned divergences and historical Q4 strength increase the odds of a bounce—targeting $350B–$400B on a channel breakout, potentially sparking an "altseason" if broader crypto (total cap ~$3.9T) rallies on catalysts like Fed decisions or regulatory clarity. Confirmation requires a weekly close above $320B; otherwise, expect choppy consolidation. This isn't financial advice—DYOR and consider risk management
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Resume: Crypto Market Outlook (OTHERS Index)
Summary:
The crypto market, excluding the top 10 coins (OTHERS index), is at about $300B as of September 2025. It’s been stuck in a downtrend for a while, with recent drops showing sellers in control. Short-term (next 1-2 months), it looks bearish, but signs point to a possible bounce later this year.
Key Points:
Current Price: Around $300B, down 1.5%–3.4% lately, stuck in a falling pattern.
Short-Term (October–November 2025): Expect more dips, possibly to $280B or lower ($250B worst case). Selling pressure is strong, but volume is low, suggesting a pause soon.
Medium-Term (Q4 2025–Q1 2026): Could rise to $350B–$400B if it breaks $320B. Oversold signals and past patterns suggest a rebound, especially in late 2025.
Risks: Market could stay flat or drop if support fails. Watch for big news (e.g., regulations or Bitcoin moves).
Investor Advice:
Short-Term: Be cautious. Avoid big buys now—prices might fall more. Consider selling if you’re up or setting stop-losses around $280B to limit losses.
Medium-Term: Look for a buy chance if it holds $280B and breaks $320B. Small investments in strong altcoins could pay off if a rally starts.
General Tips: Spread your money across different coins, not just one. Check news daily and be ready to act fast. This isn’t a sure bet—only use money you can afford to lose.
Note: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before investing.
Twitter X: x.com/cryptonikkoid
Web: nikkoid.com
I do not answer to private messages. Use the comment section of the idea or script, or use Telegram.
Web: nikkoid.com
I do not answer to private messages. Use the comment section of the idea or script, or use Telegram.
Penafian
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Twitter X: x.com/cryptonikkoid
Web: nikkoid.com
I do not answer to private messages. Use the comment section of the idea or script, or use Telegram.
Web: nikkoid.com
I do not answer to private messages. Use the comment section of the idea or script, or use Telegram.
Penafian
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.