🧠 Palantir Bull Thesis: $136–$150 Short-Term Target (Post-Earnings)
Price Target Range:
Base Target: $136
Stretch Target: $150 (if momentum breakout + macro align)
Catalyst 1: AI/Defense Earnings Blowout
Expected EPS: $0.13 → if actual EPS surprises (e.g., $0.15+), it signals significant operating leverage from AI/Foundry.
Recent Government Deals: NATO, U.S. military, and foreign defense contracts bolster revenue visibility.
Commercial Growth Spike: Analysts expect over 60% YoY growth in commercial sector revenue — if confirmed, valuation multiple expansion becomes justified.
Catalyst 2:
Cup & Handle breakout formed over the last 6 weeks
Break above $124 (previous high) triggers bullish continuation
RSI is resetting from mid-60s — giving room for a momentum ignition
Golden cross: 50EMA crossing above 200EMA last week
📊 If earnings gap the stock above $128, short-covering + AI momentum chase can push a rapid breakout to $136–$150.
Catalyst 3: Options Flow + IV Crush Setup
Implied Volatility > 95% pre-earnings → massive call open interest buildup at $130–$150
Call/Put ratio above 2.3 (bullish skew)
If IV collapses post-earnings and the move is directional, market makers will need to hedge deep OTM calls → gamma squeeze potential
Catalyst 4: Sentiment + Social/Institutional Attention
Palantir trending on Reddit, Twitter, and TikTok
Citadel and BlackRock increased positions in Q1
High institutional ownership (~40%) with increasing fund inflows into AI/Defense names
Quantum Forecast & AI Narrative Momentum
AI stocks (NVDA, SMCI) have led market-wide rallies
Palantir being seen as the “AI software layer for government + enterprise”
CEO Alex Karp has already hinted at "transformational government contracts" and new AI modules — this creates anticipation buying even before guidance is raised
Risk-Reward Snapshot
Case Price Range Probability
Base Bull Case $136 55%
Stretch Case (Gamma Squeeze + Beat + Upgraded Guidance) $150+ 30%
Neutral Post-Earnings Drift $118–124 15%
Risk Factors:
Market-wide risk-off event (Fed, macro surprise)
AI rotation cools off
EPS beats but guidance disappoints
IV crush limits upside unless price gaps violently
If Palantir beats EPS by >15%, raises guidance, and gaps over $128 post-earnings, a momentum/gamma squeeze could push it toward $136–$150, fueled by AI mania, defense exposure, and short positioning.
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as always safe Trades
Price Target Range:
Base Target: $136
Stretch Target: $150 (if momentum breakout + macro align)
Catalyst 1: AI/Defense Earnings Blowout
Expected EPS: $0.13 → if actual EPS surprises (e.g., $0.15+), it signals significant operating leverage from AI/Foundry.
Recent Government Deals: NATO, U.S. military, and foreign defense contracts bolster revenue visibility.
Commercial Growth Spike: Analysts expect over 60% YoY growth in commercial sector revenue — if confirmed, valuation multiple expansion becomes justified.
Catalyst 2:
Cup & Handle breakout formed over the last 6 weeks
Break above $124 (previous high) triggers bullish continuation
RSI is resetting from mid-60s — giving room for a momentum ignition
Golden cross: 50EMA crossing above 200EMA last week
📊 If earnings gap the stock above $128, short-covering + AI momentum chase can push a rapid breakout to $136–$150.
Catalyst 3: Options Flow + IV Crush Setup
Implied Volatility > 95% pre-earnings → massive call open interest buildup at $130–$150
Call/Put ratio above 2.3 (bullish skew)
If IV collapses post-earnings and the move is directional, market makers will need to hedge deep OTM calls → gamma squeeze potential
Catalyst 4: Sentiment + Social/Institutional Attention
Palantir trending on Reddit, Twitter, and TikTok
Citadel and BlackRock increased positions in Q1
High institutional ownership (~40%) with increasing fund inflows into AI/Defense names
Quantum Forecast & AI Narrative Momentum
AI stocks (NVDA, SMCI) have led market-wide rallies
Palantir being seen as the “AI software layer for government + enterprise”
CEO Alex Karp has already hinted at "transformational government contracts" and new AI modules — this creates anticipation buying even before guidance is raised
Risk-Reward Snapshot
Case Price Range Probability
Base Bull Case $136 55%
Stretch Case (Gamma Squeeze + Beat + Upgraded Guidance) $150+ 30%
Neutral Post-Earnings Drift $118–124 15%
Risk Factors:
Market-wide risk-off event (Fed, macro surprise)
AI rotation cools off
EPS beats but guidance disappoints
IV crush limits upside unless price gaps violently
If Palantir beats EPS by >15%, raises guidance, and gaps over $128 post-earnings, a momentum/gamma squeeze could push it toward $136–$150, fueled by AI mania, defense exposure, and short positioning.
Want a matching chart or visual post for this thesis?
as always safe Trades
Dagangan aktif
Pltr was crushed after-hours but Im Still Long 2-3 weeks out will be adding market open!!! My AlphaPulse Bot Even Confirmed as well hear are the details📈 AlphaPulse Multi-Timeframe Forecast:
PLTR📍 Current Price: $123.77
🔍 Active Patterns: True S/R Zone, Overbought Channel Position
🌐 Market Structure:
• Primary Trend: Bullish Bias
• Trading Bias: Bullish (61.3% confidence)
• Ideal Timeframe: weekly (Strength: 6)
🎯 Bullish Price Targets:
• Conservative: $133.96 (+8.23%)
• Primary Target: $144.15 (+16.47%)
• Aggressive: $154.34 (+24.70%)
• Expected Duration: 2-4 weeks
📊 Technical Position:
• Weekly: Uptrend
• Daily: Uptrend
• Intraday: Neutral
🔑 Key Levels:
📈 Current Market Action:
• Weekly: Strong Upward Movement (+53.4%)
• Daily: Strong Upward Movement (+59.0%)
• 5min: Strong Upward Movement (+59.0%)
🧠 Historical Pattern Match:
• Similar to pattern from 2025-05-05
• Matching patterns: True S/R Zone
⚠️ Signal strength: 61.3% - 1 historical patterns analyzed
GoodLUck And Safe Trades Long LETS GOOOOO!
Nota
📈 AlphaPulse Multi-Timeframe Forecast: PLTR📍 Current Price: $109.20
🔍 Active Patterns: Fair Value Gap, True S/R Zone, ADX+ATR Fusion
🌐 Market Structure:
• Primary Trend: Bullish Bias
• Trading Bias: Bullish (44.3% confidence)
• Ideal Timeframe: daily (Strength: 4)
🎯 Bullish Price Targets:
• Conservative: $120.34 (+10.20%)
• Primary Target: $131.48 (+20.41%)
• Aggressive: $142.62 (+30.61%)
• Expected Duration: 5-10 days
📊 Technical Position:
• Weekly: Uptrend
• Daily: Uptrend
• Intraday: Neutral
🔑 Key Levels:
• Strong Support: $89.31
• Strong Resistance: $118.66
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:0.5
📈 Current Market Action:
• Weekly: Strong Upward Movement (+41.5%)
• Daily: Strong Upward Movement (+18.7%)
• 5min: Strong Upward Movement (+18.7%)
⚠️ Signal strength: 44.3% - 1 historical patterns analyzed
Nota
Pltr is Just Almost Above the Liquidity Grab Zone at $114.... ITs ready to go to the moodNota
YOLONOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
PLTR | CALL | Strike: 119.0 | Exp: 2025-05-16
Cost: $4.6
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Option Plays ,Scalp
Day Trading , & Swing Trading
Live Trading
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
3 Free Institutional Grade Signals Daily
(t.me/JoeWtrade)
Trading Signals
Coaching Private Stock Community
Option Plays ,Scalp
Day Trading , & Swing Trading
Live Trading
(t.me/JoeWtrade)
Trading Signals
Coaching Private Stock Community
Option Plays ,Scalp
Day Trading , & Swing Trading
Live Trading
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.