Warning: what can save us from a collapse: must read.

31 Mac

⚠️This analysis isn’t purely chart-based, but in this macro environment, understanding the bigger picture is essential for predicting market movements. Hopefully, TradingView will allow this idea so that everyone can read it.

What Can Save Us?
Before looking for a solution, we must first acknowledge the problem—and then determine if and when a resolution is coming.

1. Trump’s Tariffs & Policies: A Market Shock
Trump’s economic strategy marks a radical departure from the policies of the past 30 years. However, previous administrations weakened U.S. global influence, shifting power in favor of China.

Since Trump's motto is "Make America Great Again", serious changes are inevitable. Until investors fully grasp these policies, uncertainty will persist.

Let’s break down the key areas of impact and Trump’s expected responses:

2.Monetary Policy & The Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve (FED) and Jerome Powell are not aligned with the White House.

Powell is sticking to his monetary policy approach, but Trump needs 0% interest rates to implement his vision.

Markets hate uncertainty, and this is fueling volatility.

🔴 Trump's Response:
Expect a bombshell move—Trump will fire Jerome Powell and replace him with a Fed chairman who supports rate cuts to 0%. This will cause short-term chaos but ultimately fuel a massive market rally as:
✔️ The housing market recovers
✔️ Liquidity surges
✔️ Stocks skyrocket

3.U.S. Dependence on China & Russia for Raw Materials
The U.S. imports essential resources from China and Russia, making it vulnerable.

The BRICS alliance is strengthening, further threatening U.S. dominance.

🔴 Trump's Response:
Trump has openly expressed interest in acquiring Greenland, citing its rich natural resources. He will take it by military force if necessary, positioning the U.S. as a raw material powerhouse on par with Russia.

4.Lost Allies: Canada, Mexico & South America
Canada is aligning with Europe

Mexico & South America are leaning towards BRICS

🔴 Trump's Response:
To counter this:

Canada will be pressured into rejoining a U.S.-led trade bloc—or face potential annexation.

South American economies will be crippled by tariffs, forcing them to reintegrate under U.S. influence.

5.Geopolitical Conflicts: Middle East & Ukraine
Iran is aligned with Russia & China

Ukraine relies on Europe (France, UK, EU), rather than the U.S.

The U.S. is not benefiting from these wars

🔴 Trump's Response:
If Zelensky continues to align with Europe, Trump may order a full-scale U.S. bombing of Ukraine, flatten Kyiv, eliminate Zelensky live on TikTok, and then split Ukraine with Russia.

This move would:
✔️ Strengthen U.S.-Russia relations
✔️ Secure a deal on Greenland
✔️ Humble Europe

6.Conclusion: A Global Power Shift
Expect a period of chaos and fear. However, what investors must understand is that Trump is 100% serious about these moves—and he will execute them regardless of global opinion.

If Trump’s strategy works:
✅ The U.S. will regain dominance
✅ Markets will rally hard
✅ Confidence in the U.S. economy will be restored

If Trump fails:
🚨 A prolonged economic downturn (15-20 years of stagflation)
🚨 U.S. & Europe suffer major losses
🚨 Best move? Relocate to Asia or the Middle East before the crash.

So, even if Trump’s policies seem insane, the best-case scenario is that he succeeds.

💡 DYOR (Do Your Own Research)

#Bitcoin #Crypto #Trump #MAGA #Geopolitics #StockMarket #SPX500 #Trading #Investing #Economy #FederalReserve #RateCuts

3 Apr

Dagangan aktif

Part 1 of the plan just been released with the expected result. Crypto is crashing, and stocks too.
Part 2 is fixing the FED and lowering the interest rates to 0%. Brace for impact.

11 Apr

Dagangan ditutup secara manual

Quick Update on Trump’s Plan

This note refers to the key steps discussed in my previous idea—be sure to read it for full context.

🔹 1. Tariffs – Status: Failed

The tariff strategy backfired due to poor execution. Trump’s confrontational tone, particularly toward Asian nations, was a major misstep—cultural insensitivity in diplomacy is a hard NO in Asia.

As a result, Asian countries began dumping U.S. bonds, triggering a liquidity crisis. In response, Trump was forced to emergency-cancel the tariff plan to avoid a total stock market meltdown.

🔹 2. Gaining Control Over the Fed – In Progress

With the economy now exposed, the only viable option to avoid recession or a full-blown bear market is for the Federal Reserve to intervene and purchase bonds.

Why? Because the U.S. urgently needs to raise capital for its budget. But with interest rates at 4%, and both Asia and hedge funds selling Treasuries, external demand is fading. The Fed must step in.

However, Jerome Powell remains unmoved, frustrating Trump and fueling speculation that he may be replaced.

This tweet from Joe Weisenthal hints at the tension:
🔗 x.com/TheStalwart/status/1910433536022028661

Most notably, a new Supreme Court ruling passed yesterday now gives Trump the legal possibility to appoint a new Fed Chair, showing the administration is actively laying the groundwork for this move.

📌 To be continued…

#TrumpEconomy #USFed #TariffWar #BondMarket #RecessionRisk #JeromePowell #MacroUpdate #FinancialCrisis #MarketWatch #PoliticsAndMarkets

3 hari lalu

Nota

In reference to the points raised in this idea:

1- Tariffs are currently on pause, but negotiations are still ongoing. The situation will likely be resolved within the next month or two.

2- Just yesterday, Trump stated he wants to fire Jerome Powell — exactly as previously anticipated.

No News about the other points.

Let’s keep monitoring the situation as it continues to unfold.