SPY & VIX _ How to find key support using 75% retracement
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Please refer to the other charts I have produced on this methodology.
It takes a long time to put these charts together and then to explain them for clarity for you.
Let's start from the beginning:
1. VIX is a measure of volatility of S&P500 options. If volatility rises, buyers of options are driving up options prices aggressively relative to weaker sellers.
2. Almost all the time aggressive option buying occurs when stock prices are falling.
3. Once VIX has risen 5 points, look for VIX to fall by 75% of its recent low to high move. Once that happens, we can mark that level as KEY SUPPORT because that is where BUYERS came into the market to accumulate stock. It could also be where short sellers are buying to cover shorts.
4. What we want to see is SUPPORT to hold on any subsequent setbacks. You can scroll back to see other examples of this phenomenon and come to the realization that this is the process by which you can read market action and VIX together to determine key support.
5. Notice what happened in November, then twice in December: BUYING WAVES didn't hold the market. So, we can assume these are Weak Buyers and from the looks of it, the market moved down and stopped these buyers out.
Keep a close eye on these KEY HIDDEN LEVELS and more using the analytical tools I have created here at TradingView.
All the best.
Tim West
9:33AM EST 1/11/2016 193.29 +1.37 last SPY
It takes a long time to put these charts together and then to explain them for clarity for you.
Let's start from the beginning:
1. VIX is a measure of volatility of S&P500 options. If volatility rises, buyers of options are driving up options prices aggressively relative to weaker sellers.
2. Almost all the time aggressive option buying occurs when stock prices are falling.
3. Once VIX has risen 5 points, look for VIX to fall by 75% of its recent low to high move. Once that happens, we can mark that level as KEY SUPPORT because that is where BUYERS came into the market to accumulate stock. It could also be where short sellers are buying to cover shorts.
4. What we want to see is SUPPORT to hold on any subsequent setbacks. You can scroll back to see other examples of this phenomenon and come to the realization that this is the process by which you can read market action and VIX together to determine key support.
5. Notice what happened in November, then twice in December: BUYING WAVES didn't hold the market. So, we can assume these are Weak Buyers and from the looks of it, the market moved down and stopped these buyers out.
Keep a close eye on these KEY HIDDEN LEVELS and more using the analytical tools I have created here at TradingView.
All the best.
Tim West
9:33AM EST 1/11/2016 193.29 +1.37 last SPY
Nota
The
SPY has revisited the 75% VIX retracement support zone today, and found support. 3/2/2018
Nota
Here's the latest .... Another 75% VIX retracement .... and now another 5+ point VIX spike today...
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