This is my first actual trade of TOST. No particular bias against it, just haven't traded it before. But looking at its paper results, I wish I had been.
Since the first of the year, it has outperformed QQQ more than 2:1 on a B/H basis, which I always like to see, but don't always get in a trade. But its 16.71% return pales compared to what I'd have gotten had I been trading it. It generated 16 signals since Jan 1.
The summed (non-compounded) return on those trades, collectively, would have been +49.2% and that includes an open signal that is down almost 5% right now. The average trade lasted 9 days (increased by one trade that lasted 56 days). The average gain in those 9 days was 3.08% (.33%/day or almost 8x the avg market return and 5x that of the QQQ so far this year). The median results were even better: +2.64% in 4.5 days (+0.59% per day held).
As a bonus here, the stock is well above its 200d MA and is at the upper edge of the GC overlay bullish ribbon (also a good sign of strength). Like Monday's idea, none of this guarantees success, but it ups the odds.
While I don't do price targets, the 1 open buy signal was triggered 4.77% above where the stock is now, so I expect that to be eventually taken out. But, it's been 6+ weeks since that signal already, so how soon is anyone's guess. I will likely take my profits when my profit taking signal clicks, be that in one day or in weeks. Maybe I'll get lucky and it will take out that 4.77% level in a hurry. 5 of the 16 trades so far this year have eclipsed that level, so it's not out of the question. We shall see.
The win is all I seek. What the market gods deign to give me in terms of magnitude and time required is up to them. I will accept it.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Since the first of the year, it has outperformed QQQ more than 2:1 on a B/H basis, which I always like to see, but don't always get in a trade. But its 16.71% return pales compared to what I'd have gotten had I been trading it. It generated 16 signals since Jan 1.
The summed (non-compounded) return on those trades, collectively, would have been +49.2% and that includes an open signal that is down almost 5% right now. The average trade lasted 9 days (increased by one trade that lasted 56 days). The average gain in those 9 days was 3.08% (.33%/day or almost 8x the avg market return and 5x that of the QQQ so far this year). The median results were even better: +2.64% in 4.5 days (+0.59% per day held).
As a bonus here, the stock is well above its 200d MA and is at the upper edge of the GC overlay bullish ribbon (also a good sign of strength). Like Monday's idea, none of this guarantees success, but it ups the odds.
While I don't do price targets, the 1 open buy signal was triggered 4.77% above where the stock is now, so I expect that to be eventually taken out. But, it's been 6+ weeks since that signal already, so how soon is anyone's guess. I will likely take my profits when my profit taking signal clicks, be that in one day or in weeks. Maybe I'll get lucky and it will take out that 4.77% level in a hurry. 5 of the 16 trades so far this year have eclipsed that level, so it's not out of the question. We shall see.
The win is all I seek. What the market gods deign to give me in terms of magnitude and time required is up to them. I will accept it.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai
Closed out my position at 44.83 at the close for a 2 trading day gain of +5.51%. Essentially, more than half a normal year's market return in 2 days. Yes. Always. Nice way to start the week. 🍻 Nota
Trade results for my recordsWins 1
Losses 0
Avg gain per lot = +5.51%
Avg holding period per lot = 2 trading days
Avg gain per lot per day held = +2.75%
Annualized RoR = 2.75% x 252 = +693%
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.