US 10‑Year Treasury Yield (US10Y)
The 10‑year yield ended last Friday (June 27, 2025) at 4.27%
After peaking above 4.46% mid‑week, yields eased late‑week as markets increasingly priced in potential Fed rate cuts—a 25 bp move in July was seen at 22.7% probability, up from ~14%
This dovish shift, alongside a softer May PCE print, supported a lull in yield increases
Still, Inflation concerns and record debt issuance continue to underpin a term premium on long-duration debt
ZB1 – 30‑Year Treasury Bond Futures
The September‑expiry T‑Bond futures (ZB1) which trade inversely to yield, saw modest price appreciation, reflecting falling yields.
Futures prices responded to the dovish Fed tone and easing global tensions, aligning with stock market gains.
The spread between 10‑ and 30‑year yields widened to ~56 bp—the largest since late 2021—illustrating increased yield curve steepening, mirrored in futures.
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I will be approaching the markets differently from now on.
Based on the feedback from past analysis, I will be compiling all related pairs into one video, giving you guys the ability to see how one asset affects the other.
This is called inter-market relationship and it's something i've been doing for years.
It gives you confidence on what pairs are 'Hot Picks' and the ones that have a high chance of not delivering the way you want.
The 10‑year yield ended last Friday (June 27, 2025) at 4.27%
After peaking above 4.46% mid‑week, yields eased late‑week as markets increasingly priced in potential Fed rate cuts—a 25 bp move in July was seen at 22.7% probability, up from ~14%
This dovish shift, alongside a softer May PCE print, supported a lull in yield increases
Still, Inflation concerns and record debt issuance continue to underpin a term premium on long-duration debt
ZB1 – 30‑Year Treasury Bond Futures
The September‑expiry T‑Bond futures (ZB1) which trade inversely to yield, saw modest price appreciation, reflecting falling yields.
Futures prices responded to the dovish Fed tone and easing global tensions, aligning with stock market gains.
The spread between 10‑ and 30‑year yields widened to ~56 bp—the largest since late 2021—illustrating increased yield curve steepening, mirrored in futures.
------------------------------------
I will be approaching the markets differently from now on.
Based on the feedback from past analysis, I will be compiling all related pairs into one video, giving you guys the ability to see how one asset affects the other.
This is called inter-market relationship and it's something i've been doing for years.
It gives you confidence on what pairs are 'Hot Picks' and the ones that have a high chance of not delivering the way you want.
Nota
Nota
End Of Week Price Action
UK, London
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
UK, London
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.