Analysis of the Latest Gold Market Dynamics

97
Analysis of the Latest Gold Market Dynamics

Gold prices experienced a significant correction after reaching a record high, primarily due to a stronger US dollar and easing geopolitical tensions.

Geopolitics: Israel and Hamas reached a ceasefire agreement, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal.

US dollar trend: The US dollar index rose for four consecutive days, hitting a two-month high, making it more expensive to hold gold.

It is undeniable that gold prices had previously risen too sharply, and technical overbought conditions triggered a large number of long profit-taking, leading to a price correction.

Technical Analysis:
Current Trend and Pattern: Gold prices have fallen sharply after reaching a record high of $4,060, with a large bearish candlestick closing on the daily chart, indicating that short-term upward momentum has weakened and the market has entered a period of high-level consolidation.

Key Resistance and Support:
$4000-4010 (psychological barrier & short-term resistance)
$3940-3950 (4-hour chart starting point & near-term resistance)
$4050-4060 (historical high & double top resistance)
$3910 (lower support band on the 4-hour chart)
$3840 (core trend support; a break below could reverse the uptrend)

Current Trading Strategy:
Main Concept: Range-bound Trading
Buying low and selling high within the $3910-4010 range is the current primary strategy.
Long Strategy (Buy on Pullbacks)
Ideal Entry Area: $3940-3950 or around $3910.

The initial target can be seen in the $3980-4000 area.

Short Strategy (Short on Rebounds)
Ideal Entry Area: When gold prices rebound to the $4,000-4,010 resistance zone or the $4,050-4,060 double top resistance zone.
Target Outlook: The short-term target can be seen below the support zone of $3950-3940.

Breakthrough Response Strategy
Breakout Above Key Resistance: If gold prices break through and stabilize above $4,060, it will signal the end of the correction and the potential for new upside potential. Long positions can then be entered.
Breakdown Below Key Support: If gold prices break below $3,910 and threaten the core support of $3,840, it could signal a deeper correction. Short-term trading should focus on waiting and watching or shorting on rallies.

Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.