Daily 4XSetUps - Uptrend Channel Is Intact! Breakout This Week?

2025/03/01 - 9th Calendar Week
Daily 4XSetUps - Uptrend Channel Is Intact! Breakout This Week?
“russia's war of aggression on Ukraine and/or us tariffs burden!
why? what were the reasons? and now bullish back again?”



WallStreet DJIA SP500 NDX exploded bullishly on Friday 28,2025 after the previous day's heavy price losses. The Nasdaq 100 NDX index initially ended the sharp decline of the past few days with a premium of +1.62% to 20,884.41 points. The day before, high price losses in Nvidia NVDA shares had dragged down the entire tech industry, especially semiconductor stocks. The leading index Dow Jones Industrial DJIA ended up +1.39% at 43,840.91 points. The market-wide S&P 500 SP500 rose by +1.59% to 5,954.50 points. Both major indices continued their recent consolidation below their record levels. However, Wall Street DJIA SP500 NDX nevertheless ended the trading month of February 2025 with losses. While the Dow Jones Industrial DJIA fell by -1.6%, the Nasdaq 100 NDX fell further by just under -3%. On Friday it slipped to its lowest level in three months. The clash at the meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr Zelensky, as almost all of Trump's opponents describe it, had a consequential effect. If you`re asking me? DXY long, WallStreet DJIA SP500 NDX long, and/or also Commodities incl. Cryptos short. No matter what his political green militants, under the guise of liberality, in our so-called West, claim and/or write. As long as there is hope that his policy will be successful - and not another daily duck tale! Because it was ad/or is precisely the green militant Keynesianism under the guise of liberalism that has brought our so-called West, since the financial crisis in 2008 as a reaction to it, and even since the attacks on the Twin Towers in 2001, once again as a reaction to it, if you ask me, especially the USA, into the whole disaster that we are all in - stagflation and wars.

A communications disaster - what happened yesterday in the White House? Yes, the last 5 minutes! With political consequences and/or consequences that I cannot estimate, do not want to estimate. Others can definitely do it better. "Zelensky bristled at his assessment by Trump and Vance. After three years of war, what did they expect?" Nick Paton Walsh, for example, analyzed this in a well-read article for CNN. What Zelensky expected? I don't know! But if you ask me as an interested fellow human being, like most people: That Trump does not ignore the fact that Russia invaded eastern Ukraine militarily in February 2022. Which is why the majority here in Germany and/or Europe is still behind Zelensky, as by Edward Szekeres, also from CNN, stated "Western allies rally around Zelensky after Trump spat deepens rift". Of course - there is a history - a shared chronicle. And that, if I am not mistaken, was that Vladimir Putin announced back in 2009 that if Ukraine joined NATO, it would “do so without Crimea and the East.” Which is why 5 years later (now back as president) he had the Russian military move into the Crimean peninsula in February and/or March 2014. Russia annexed the peninsula after a referendum in which, according to Russian figures, 95.5% of voters voted for annexation. And this is where the rub lies! If you ask me? The cause of the conflict - both parties?! because the Ukrainians, along with our so-called West, did not accept the election results - and the Russians then intervened militarily. A political idiocy of the West & militant idiocy of Russia! Or? In April 2014, Russia-backed separatists in eastern Ukraine pushed for the establishment of the Donetsk People's Republic and the Luhansk People's Republic. Kevin Liptak and/or Jeff Zeleny, again from CNN, in an article that is well worth reading also, describe the whole communication disaster - political idiotism of the West & militant idiotism of Russia - in their own words - under their headline "Inside the 139 minutes that upended the US-Ukraine alliance".

“Having a reserve currency is great while it lasts because it gives a country exceptional borrowing and spending power and significant power over who else in the world gets the money and credit needed to buy and sell internationally. However, having a reserve currency typically sows the seeds of a country ceasing to be a reserve currency country. That is because it allows the country to borrow more than it could otherwise afford to borrow, and the creation of lots of money and credit to service the debt debases the value of the currency and causes the loss of its status as a reserve currency. The loss of its reserve currency status is a terrible thing because having a reserve currency is one of the greatest powers a country can have because it gives the country enormous buying power and geopolitical power.”
Ray Dalio

45227 : 2025/01/31 - Annual High 2025
45176 : 2024/12/04 - Annual High 2024
44421 : 2025/02/07 - last price action
43965 : 2024/11/06 - Trump Election Day High
42416 : 2024/11/06 - Trump Election Day Low
41873 : 2024/10/31 - October 2024 Low
41791 : 2024/11/04 - November 2024 Low
The price action of the YM1! in the past week is quickly told - quickly broken down and brought to the point: After we suffered a minus of -0.99% and -1.79% on Thursday, February 20th, 2025 and the following Friday at the end of the week before last, the price action in the first 3 days of last week was relatively relaxed and/or even restful, at an admittedly lower level. It was, as I also wrote, if I'm not mistaken, the calm before the storm - the staring of the rabbit before the snake. Precisely the days leading up to Trump's US tariffs. And/Or also the week in which Trump wanted to act as a peacemaker for the first time in concrete peace negotiations with regard to Russia's military war of aggression against Ukraine. And so relatively nothing happened until Wednesday, February 26th, 2025, until Trump publicly questioned for the first time whether the tariffs against Canada & Mexico, as well as China, might not be postponed until April 2nd, 2025. And that only, on the following Thursday, shortly before the Wall Street bell, he announced that the US tariffs would officially come into force next week, March 4, 2025. It is clear that the price action on the stock markets worldwide went down on Thursday - and even until Friday evening - until on Friday evening Donald Trump made it unmistakably clear to the world public in a 40-minute live appearance in the presence of Ukrainian President Zelensky that he indeed wanted to act as a verbose peace broker. Even if he was talking himself into a rage in the last 5 minutes - and could avoid it in public - if you ask me. But for better or for worse, his Christian, Jew-friendly temperament broke out of him because he didn't feel understood as a peace broker - and at least the Green Democratic military Keynesianists under the guise of liberality, in our so-called West, since then in the reporting, seems to have been dehypnotized and don't want to believe what they heard and or even saw. If I correctly interpret the reaction of his political oppositions - in the usa, in our so called west. And that's why the price action on WallStreet DJIA SP500 NDX more than recovered in the last few hours of trading - precisely because now, in our so-called West, politicians will have to finally talking about peace with regard to Ukraine also since now - and not about war! How long does this last? Whether he can cultivate peace? Yes, even conservative it? We will experience this in the coming days & weeks, and probably even months & quarters, one way or another. But in any case, this weekend, if you want a fundamental outlook in context about the Trump policies, it seems that the DXY and/or WallStreet SP500 NDX can go even higher - while I would stay away from commodities for the reasons just stated. Yes, I would even go short on a case-by-case basis. But more on that in the future.

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50000 : 2025/12/31 - Target Price
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43889 : 2025/02/28 - last price action
43681 : 2025/01/21 - Entry Price
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40000 - 2025/12/31 - Stop Price
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Have a good time
- regardless of the price action!
Aaron



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