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Rate Cut Expectations Dominate, Clear Dovish DirectionPolicy Perspective: Rate Cut Expectations Dominate, Clear Dovish Direction Market expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December have surged to 87%, with core support coming from weak U.S. economic data and dovish remarks from officials. While some hawkish officials emphasize that "inflation remains above the 2% target," cooling labor market signals — such as the unexpected decline of 32,000 in November ADP employment (the largest drop since March 2023) — and slowing economic growth have strengthened the need for accommodative policies. From a capital pricing perspective, rate cut expectations have pushed U.S. Treasury yields lower and dragged down real U.S. dollar interest rates, significantly reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold. As an interest-free asset, gold’s allocation value in a low-interest-rate environment continues to stand out, attracting capital inflows from bond and money markets. The key focus next week will be Fed officials’ speeches ahead of the FOMC meeting (scheduled for December 10). If no unexpected hawkish comments emerge, rate cut expectations will further solidify, providing policy support for gold to break through. Conversely, signals of a "pause in rate cuts" may trigger a short-term pullback, but the strong support around $4,170 is likely to absorb selling pressure. Gold trading strategy for next week buy：4180-4190 tp:4200-4220-4250 sl:4170
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Thorne-
#MAGIC/USDT Bullish Reversal in MAGICUSDT Accumulation Zone #MAGIC The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 0.0950. The price has bounced from this level multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards stability above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 0.0961 First target: 0.0978 Second target: 0.1005 Third target: 0.1039 Don't forget a simple principle: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Gold Uptrend Exhaustion & Reaction at Key Demand ZoneXAUUSD ANALYSIS) 2. Key Technical Structures 🔵 Ascending Channel Clean respect of: Lower trendline (support) Midline (mean reversion area) Upper trendline (profit-taking zone) The final push overshot the channel → momentum exhaustion signal. ✅ Strong trend, but weak continuation from the highs. 🟡 Yellow Zone (Demand / Support) This zone aligns with: Prior higher lows Channel lower boundary Liquidity resting below equal lows The sharp wick into this zone suggests sell-side liquidity grab. ✅ This is the first logical area for buyers to step back in. 3. The Dump & Reaction The aggressive drop shows initiative selling (institutions). Price did not consolidate before dropping → not healthy for bulls short-term. Small bounce after the sweep = reaction, not confirmation. ⚠️ Important: A reaction ≠ reversal. Confirmation is required. 4. The Drawn Projection (Blue Wiggle) Your projected idea is logical: Sweep liquidity Strong rejection Move back toward channel / target However… What must happen first: ✅ Strong bullish candle from demand ✅ Break above the last lower high (~4,205–4,210) ✅ Hold above the dotted equilibrium line Without these → it’s only a hope trade. 5. Target & Risk Zone (Green / Red Box) 🟢 Target Area Near previous high / premium zone Logical profit target IF structure flips bullish again 🔴 Risk Area Below 4,180–4,170 If price accepts here → bullish structure is broken ✅ Risk-to-reward looks good ❌ Probability depends entirely on confirmation 6. High-Probability Scenarios ✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation (Best Case) Strong rejection from yellow zone Break + close above 4,210 Retest holds → continuation to target This is the trade you wait for. ❌ Scenario B: Bearish Continuation Weak bounce Lower high formed Breakdown below yellow zone → Opens path toward 4,160 and below 7. Final Professional Take Trend: Bullish → Under pressure Momentum: Shifted bearish short-term Zone quality: Yellow zone is valid Entry quality: Only after confirmation My honest advice: > Do not trade the bounce blindly. Let the market prove buyers are back
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Moriss365
QQQ A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the QQQ next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 625.54 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 612.68 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AnabelSignals
MDTUSDT Forming Falling WedgeMDTUSDT is forming a clear falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 190% to 200% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance. This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching MDTUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal. Investors’ growing interest in MDTUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is your opinion about this Coin?) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
Latest Gold Price Trading Strategies: Trading Strategy Report on Gold Price Movement for December 8th Core Summary: This week, gold prices exhibited intense volatility, influenced by a confluence of multiple factors, with sensitive market sentiment leading to significantly amplified price swings. The current price is fluctuating repeatedly within a critical range, as the market focuses on the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision for clearer directional cues. I. Review of This Week's Market and Driving Factors Price Action Overview The week began with a rapid surge to $4,262 (the weekly high), followed by a swift pullback to $4,225. Selling pressure intensified during Asian and European trading hours, pushing the gold price down to a low of $4,170 (the weekly low). Extreme volatility occurred on Tuesday: a sharp rise of nearly $250 within 15 minutes, followed by a steep plunge triggered by profit-taking, reflecting deep market sensitivity and thin liquidity ahead of major events. Prices surged again to $4,254 on Thursday, but concentrated selling after the North American market open led to a drop of over $50 within minutes. Prices ultimately settled below $4,200 on Friday, approaching a crucial support zone. Primary Influencing Factors Trading Sentiment and Liquidity: Reduced year-end liquidity amplified price movements, and concentrated buy/sell orders triggered sharp fluctuations. Fed Policy Expectations: Markets price in a high probability (87%) of a December rate cut, but disagreement exists regarding the cumulative extent of cuts (1-3 times) through 2026, with this uncertainty curbing aggressive bullish positions. Key Event Preview: Significant internal divergence exists within the Fed regarding rate cuts (5 out of 12 members opposing or expressing doubts). The key driver will be Chair Powell's characterization of the move as "insurance cuts" versus the "start of an easing cycle." Technical Level Contention: Gold failed in three attempts to sustain above $4,220, leading to a shift in market confidence and ongoing high-level tug-of-war. II. Technical Analysis Key Levels Resistance Zones: First Resistance: $4,220 - $4,230 (short-term trendline pressure) Core Resistance: $4,255 - $4,260 (recent highs; maintain bearish view unless breached) Support Zones: First Support: $4,160 - $4,165 (ten-day moving average & key structural support) Breakdown Support: $4,000 (potential test target if hawkish signals emerge) Chart Patterns & Structure Triangle Consolidation: Currently in a small triangular consolidation pattern. Watch for two potential developments: Pennant continuation pattern (trend resumption) Broad range-bound consolidation pattern (continued sideways movement) Trendline Focus: A breach of the rising trendline could trigger bearish momentum; conversely, holding support suggests continued choppy pull-ups. Bull-Bear Line Short-term Pivot: $4,200. Holding effectively above suggests a bias toward a rebound; trading below indicates continued pressure. III. Trading Strategy for the Coming Week Overall Approach Primary Strategy: Favor selling on rallies, with buying on dips as a secondary approach. Core Logic: Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the Fed decision, with high volatility and price swings expected. Await key levels for high-probability entry opportunities. Specific Tactics Short Strategy (Sell on Strength) Entry Zone: $4,220 - $4,230 Stop-Loss: Set at $4,230 - $4,240 (8-10 points) Target Levels: First Target: $4,200 - $4,180 Second Target: $4,160 (hold if breached) Long Strategy (Buy on Weakness) Entry Zone: $4,160 - $4,165 Stop-Loss: Set at $4,150 - $4,155 (8-10 points) Target Levels: First Target: $4,190 - $4,210 Second Target: $4,220 (hold if broken) Risk Management Essentials Position Sizing: Initiate with light positions; avoid heavy, concentrated bets. Strict Stop-Losses: Every trade must have a stop-loss; do not average down on losses. Event Avoidance: Liquidity may be abnormal around the Fed announcement. Consider reducing operations or scaling down position sizes. IV. Key Events and Outlook Focus Next Week: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (December) Watch Point 1: Number of dissenting votes (≥3 would indicate deepening internal division). Watch Point 2: Tone of Chair Powell's press conference—distinguishing between "insurance cuts" and the "start of an easing cycle." Scenario Analysis: Dovish Signal: Clearer path for rate cuts → Gold may resume its upward trajectory, targeting $4,300+. Hawkish Signal: Downplaying rate cut expectations → Gold could decline to test the $4,000 region for support. Medium-Term Outlook Conditions for Upside: Fed confirms an easing cycle + tame inflation data → Gold is expected to break out of the high consolidation range. Downside Risks: Hawkish Fed decision + tightening liquidity + intensified profit-taking → Potential for a deeper correction towards $4,000 - $4,100.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by The_Golden_Perspective
GOLD XAU/USDFrom the previous analysis, price respected the marked bottom and followed through toward the 4222–4250 USD target zone. We now have a clean breakout, a successful retest, and stabilization, with price starting to form a fresh re-accumulation structure above the prior range. At this stage, the market is showing strong bullish intent, but for the next leg higher, we still require a liquidity sweep—a controlled dip to grab resting orders—before GOLD gears up for the next expansion. Once liquidity is collected, the structure supports a continuation move toward a new ATH, potentially before year-end if momentum maintains.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Captain-MAO
Boeing at a Make-or-Break Level: Rejection or Reversal?Boeing (BA) is currently retesting a long-term descending resistance (the purple trendline). Price is also below the 50-day SMA (204.88), which is acting as dynamic resistance. This zone around 202–205 is a very important decision point. Bullish Scenario (Green Arrow) If BA breaks above 205 and closes above the descending trendline: • Target 1: 214 • Target 2: 222 • Target 3: 230 (major resistance) Stop-loss for longs: below 198 Bearish Scenario (Red Arrow) If BA gets rejected from 202–205: • Target 1: 190 • Target 2: 182 • Target 3: 172 (major support) Stop-loss for shorts: above 207 Short Fundamental Summary • Boeing still struggles with production delays and quality issues. • Demand for commercial aircraft remains high, but execution problems limit growth. • Cash flow improving slowly but still under pressure. • Market sentiment remains mixed—technicals currently drive price more than fundamentals. Overall bias: Bearish-to-neutral unless the breakout above 205 is confirmed.
NYSE:BAShort
by isahebdadi
DXY FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
EURGBP FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | Y25 | 📊 EURGBP FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURGBP
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
BTC at Critical Support — Bounce or Breakdown?BTC 4H Update BTC is still moving in a controlled pullback after failing to break the 93,241 resistance. The rejection shows the market continues to respect this supply zone, and price is now hovering just above short-term support. The key area to watch is the 88,850–89,200 support zone. If BTC can hold this level, a rebound toward 90,193 is likely, followed by another attempt to break the major resistance. A successful breakout would open the path toward the 98k–99.5k zone shown on the chart. However, if this support breaks, price may slide into the OB 87,670–86,300 or even revisit the 85,650–85,000 support area — the same zone that created the recent higher low. Losing that level would weaken the bullish structure. For now, structure is still intact, and BTC just needs a clean bounce to maintain upward momentum.
by ijaz_crypto
390 k Next Target May 2026 Weekly Projections Bitcoin held firm near $85,000 Support as mixed macro signals kept volatility elevated. ETF outflows and profit taking shaped the near-term weakness despite solid demand. Market stays in a broad consolidation between 85,000 support and 95k to 100k resistance. For a limited time, get an InvestingPro subscription at the lowest price of the year with our extended Cyber Monday discount. Bitcoin traded through a volatile week as mixed macro signals and uneven flows from ETFs and exchanges pulled the market in different directions. The OBO pattern we have tracked for some time led to a sharp retreat from above $100,000 toward the $85,000 area. This zone has acted as a key medium-term floor because it aligns with the pattern objective and an important Fibonacci support level. The market tested this floor again during the past week. Momentum has since slowed, and the broader trend has shifted into a phase of consolidation and a search for a clear direction after the recent rapid decline. Bitcoin Price Stabilizes After November Pullback On the macro side, weekly US jobless claims stayed low, which keeps the soft landing scenario in play. Markets continued to price in a 25 basis point rate cut at the December Fed meeting. In principle, lower interest rates and easier financial conditions create a supportive medium and long-term environment for assets such as Bitcoin. Even so, the sharp pullback in November turned this supportive narrative into a phase of profit taking and risk reduction at first, which lifted short-term volatility. On the regulatory side, China’s firm position, once again declaring crypto transactions illegal, remains a drag on Asian demand. By contrast, the CFTC’s effort to bring spot crypto contracts onto regulated futures exchanges in the US and the clearer MiCA framework in Europe represent constructive steps for broader Bitcoin adoption. These regulatory shifts have limited influence on short-term price action, yet they offer a more favourable backdrop for institutional risk assessments over time. The main pressure on the Bitcoin market came from steady outflows in US spot Bitcoin ETFs through November and early December. A portion of the fast inflows from previous months left the market through profit-taking, which created downward pressure. Even so, large institutional players continued to move sizeable amounts of BTC away from exchanges, and several major banks are preparing to offer crypto ETPs to clients from early 2026. This builds a base of forward-looking institutional demand. In short, ETF outflows and profit taking shaped the near-term weakness. The broader setup still leans constructive as the outlook for a rate cut firms up and the regulatory landscape gains clarity. Together, these forces may create a friendlier backdrop for Bitcoin in the medium and long term.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by AktiePremium