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Blue Bird Q3 adjusted EPS beats estimates

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Overview

  • Blue Bird fiscal Q3 revenue rises 19.4% yr/yr to $398 mln

  • Adjusted EPS for fiscal Q3 beats analyst expectations, per LSEG data

  • Co announces $100 mln share buyback program

Outlook

  • Blue Bird raises FY2025 Adj. EBITDA guidance to $205-215 mln

  • Company expects FY2025 net revenue at ~$1.45 bln

  • Blue Bird aims for long-term Adj. EBITDA margin of 16%+ on ~$2 bln revenue

  • Company raises FY2025 Adj. Free Cash Flow guidance to $90-$100 mln

Result Drivers

  • BUS SALES - Increase driven by higher unit bookings and price increases to offset tariff costs

  • ELECTRIC BUS SALES - Record 271 electric buses sold, supporting leadership in alternative-powered buses

  • PRICE INCREASES - Implemented to mitigate impact of increased procurement costs due to tariffs

Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$1.19

$0.96 (5 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$1.12

Q3 Adjusted Net Income

$38.70 mln

Q3 Net Income

$36.50 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

$58.50 mln

Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 6 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the heavy machinery & vehicles peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Blue Bird Corp is $50.00, about 12.8% above its August 5 closing price of $43.61

  • The stock recently traded at 11 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 8 three months ago

Press Release:

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