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SPX Implied Probability of closing above/below

This is a recreation of the work done by Michael Rechenthin aka "Dr.Data" from Tastytrade back in 2016 (this indicator is for
SPX only)
You can watch the episode where "Dr.Data", Tom and Tony go over this concept on the following link:
https://www.tastytrade.com/shows/the-skinny-on-options-data-science/episodes/spreadsheet-for-calculating-expected-moves-05-05-2016
The following are my personal additions:
- ability to choose between
VIX and
VOLI as the IV input
- ability to choose between 252 and 365 for the number of days
Note that I’m displaying 4 decimal places (#.####) to be as accurate as possible but sometimes you will see 0% or 100% displayed which means that more decimal places are needed (0% could be 0.00005% or 100% could be 99.99995%).
You can watch the episode where "Dr.Data", Tom and Tony go over this concept on the following link:
https://www.tastytrade.com/shows/the-skinny-on-options-data-science/episodes/spreadsheet-for-calculating-expected-moves-05-05-2016
The following are my personal additions:
- ability to choose between
- ability to choose between 252 and 365 for the number of days
Note that I’m displaying 4 decimal places (#.####) to be as accurate as possible but sometimes you will see 0% or 100% displayed which means that more decimal places are needed (0% could be 0.00005% or 100% could be 99.99995%).
Skrip dilindungi
Skrip ini diterbitkan sebagai sumber tertutup. Akan tetapi, anda boleh menggunakannya secara bebas dan tanpa apa-apa had – ketahui lebih di sini.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.
Skrip dilindungi
Skrip ini diterbitkan sebagai sumber tertutup. Akan tetapi, anda boleh menggunakannya secara bebas dan tanpa apa-apa had – ketahui lebih di sini.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.