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Telah dikemas kini MVRVZ BTC
MVRVZ BTC (Market Value to Realized Value Z-Score)
Description:
The MVRVZ BTC indicator provides insights into the relationship between the market value and realized value of Bitcoin, using the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which is then adjusted using a Z-Score. This indicator highlights potential market extremes and helps in identifying overbought or oversold conditions, offering a unique perspective on Bitcoin's valuation.
How It Works:
MVRVZ is calculated by taking the difference between Bitcoin's Market Capitalization (MC) and Realized Capitalization (MCR), then dividing that by the Standard Deviation (Stdev) of the price over a specified period (usually 104 weeks).
The resulting value is plotted as the MVRVZ line, representing how far the market price deviates from its realized value.
Z-Score is then applied to the MVRVZ line, with the Z-Score bounded between +2 and -2, which allows it to be used within a consistent evaluation framework, regardless of how high or low the MVRVZ line goes. The Z-Score will reflect overbought or oversold conditions:
A Z-Score above +2 indicates the market is likely overbought (possible market top).
A Z-Score below -2 indicates the market is likely oversold (possible market bottom).
Values between -2 and +2 indicate more neutral market conditions.
How to Read the Indicator:
MVRVZ Line:
The MVRVZ line shows the relationship between market cap and realized cap. A higher value indicates the market is overvalued relative to the actual capital realized by holders.
The MVRVZ line can move above or below the top and bottom lines you define, which are adjustable according to your preferences. These lines act as trigger levels.
Top and Bottom Trigger Lines:
You can customize the Top Line and Bottom Line values to your preference.
When the MVRVZ line crosses the Top Line, the market might be considered overbought.
When the MVRVZ line crosses the Bottom Line, the market might be considered oversold.
SCDA Z-Score:
The Z-Score is displayed alongside the MVRVZ line and is bounded between -2 and +2. It scales proportionally based on the MVRVZ line's position relative to the top and bottom trigger lines.
The Z-Score ensures that even if the MVRVZ line moves beyond the trigger lines, the Z-Score will stay within the limits of -2 to +2, making it ideal for your custom evaluation system (SCDA).
Background Highlighting:
The background color changes when the MVRVZ line crosses key levels:
When the MVRVZ line exceeds the Top Trigger, the background turns red, indicating overbought conditions.
When the MVRVZ line falls below the Bottom Trigger, the background turns green, indicating oversold conditions.
Data Sources:
The data for the MVRVZ indicator is sourced from Glassnode and Coinmetrics, which provide the necessary values for:
BTC Market Cap (MC) – The total market capitalization of Bitcoin.
BTC Realized Market Cap (MCR) – The capitalization based on the price at which Bitcoin was last moved on the blockchain (realized value).
How to Use the Indicator:
Market Extremes:
Use the MVRVZ and Z-Score to spot potential market tops or bottoms.
A high Z-Score (above +2) suggests the market is overbought, while a low Z-Score (below -2) suggests the market is oversold.
Adjusting the Triggers:
Customize the Top and Bottom Trigger Lines to suit your trading strategy. These lines can act as dynamic reference points for when to take action based on the Z-Score or MVRVZ line crossing these levels.
Market Evaluation (SCDA Framework):
The bounded Z-Score (from -2 to +2) is tailored for your SCDA evaluation system, allowing you to assess market conditions based on consistent criteria, no matter how volatile the MVRVZ line becomes.
Conclusion:
The MVRVZ BTC indicator is a powerful tool for assessing the relative valuation of Bitcoin based on its market and realized capitalization. By combining it with the Z-Score, you get an easy-to-read, bounded evaluation system that highlights potential market extremes and helps you make informed decisions about Bitcoin's price behavior.
Description:
The MVRVZ BTC indicator provides insights into the relationship between the market value and realized value of Bitcoin, using the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which is then adjusted using a Z-Score. This indicator highlights potential market extremes and helps in identifying overbought or oversold conditions, offering a unique perspective on Bitcoin's valuation.
How It Works:
MVRVZ is calculated by taking the difference between Bitcoin's Market Capitalization (MC) and Realized Capitalization (MCR), then dividing that by the Standard Deviation (Stdev) of the price over a specified period (usually 104 weeks).
The resulting value is plotted as the MVRVZ line, representing how far the market price deviates from its realized value.
Z-Score is then applied to the MVRVZ line, with the Z-Score bounded between +2 and -2, which allows it to be used within a consistent evaluation framework, regardless of how high or low the MVRVZ line goes. The Z-Score will reflect overbought or oversold conditions:
A Z-Score above +2 indicates the market is likely overbought (possible market top).
A Z-Score below -2 indicates the market is likely oversold (possible market bottom).
Values between -2 and +2 indicate more neutral market conditions.
How to Read the Indicator:
MVRVZ Line:
The MVRVZ line shows the relationship between market cap and realized cap. A higher value indicates the market is overvalued relative to the actual capital realized by holders.
The MVRVZ line can move above or below the top and bottom lines you define, which are adjustable according to your preferences. These lines act as trigger levels.
Top and Bottom Trigger Lines:
You can customize the Top Line and Bottom Line values to your preference.
When the MVRVZ line crosses the Top Line, the market might be considered overbought.
When the MVRVZ line crosses the Bottom Line, the market might be considered oversold.
SCDA Z-Score:
The Z-Score is displayed alongside the MVRVZ line and is bounded between -2 and +2. It scales proportionally based on the MVRVZ line's position relative to the top and bottom trigger lines.
The Z-Score ensures that even if the MVRVZ line moves beyond the trigger lines, the Z-Score will stay within the limits of -2 to +2, making it ideal for your custom evaluation system (SCDA).
Background Highlighting:
The background color changes when the MVRVZ line crosses key levels:
When the MVRVZ line exceeds the Top Trigger, the background turns red, indicating overbought conditions.
When the MVRVZ line falls below the Bottom Trigger, the background turns green, indicating oversold conditions.
Data Sources:
The data for the MVRVZ indicator is sourced from Glassnode and Coinmetrics, which provide the necessary values for:
BTC Market Cap (MC) – The total market capitalization of Bitcoin.
BTC Realized Market Cap (MCR) – The capitalization based on the price at which Bitcoin was last moved on the blockchain (realized value).
How to Use the Indicator:
Market Extremes:
Use the MVRVZ and Z-Score to spot potential market tops or bottoms.
A high Z-Score (above +2) suggests the market is overbought, while a low Z-Score (below -2) suggests the market is oversold.
Adjusting the Triggers:
Customize the Top and Bottom Trigger Lines to suit your trading strategy. These lines can act as dynamic reference points for when to take action based on the Z-Score or MVRVZ line crossing these levels.
Market Evaluation (SCDA Framework):
The bounded Z-Score (from -2 to +2) is tailored for your SCDA evaluation system, allowing you to assess market conditions based on consistent criteria, no matter how volatile the MVRVZ line becomes.
Conclusion:
The MVRVZ BTC indicator is a powerful tool for assessing the relative valuation of Bitcoin based on its market and realized capitalization. By combining it with the Z-Score, you get an easy-to-read, bounded evaluation system that highlights potential market extremes and helps you make informed decisions about Bitcoin's price behavior.
Nota Keluaran
🔍 MVRV-Z Score BTC Indicator with Dynamic Z-Score Tableℹ️ Powered by Glassnode & CoinMetrics | Weekly Resolution
📈 Description:
This indicator visualizes the Market Value to Realized Value Z-Score (MVRV-Z) for Bitcoin (BTC), a powerful on-chain metric used to assess whether BTC is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical behavior.
The MVRV-Z Score helps identify market cycle extremes by comparing short-term market exuberance (Market Cap) against the long-term investor cost basis (Realized Cap), normalized by volatility (standard deviation).
📊 Key Features:
✅ Real-time MVRV-Z line plotted using weekly data
✅ Top & bottom threshold bands (e.g. 6.85 (3.85 is better on daily) and –0.23) to indicate historical bubble tops and accumulation bottoms
✅ Color-highlighted background zones when extremes are reached
✅ Dynamically scaled SCDA-compatible Z-Score between –2 and +2
✅ Compact top-right table displaying the current Z-Score
🔢 How it's calculated:
Fetches weekly Bitcoin Market Cap from Glassnode:
GLASSNODE:BTC_MARKETCAP
Fetches weekly Realized Market Cap from CoinMetrics:
COINMETRICS:BTC_MARKETCAPREAL
Computes standard deviation of the Market Cap over a user-defined rolling window (default: 104 weeks)
Applies the Z-Score formula:
MVRV-Z = (Market Cap – Realized Cap) / Standard Deviation
Scales the Z-Score between –2 and +2 for normalized display (used in the table)
🎯 Interpretation:
When the Z-Score approaches or exceeds the top threshold (e.g. > 6.85), the market may be overheated – historically associated with macro tops.
When the Z-Score drops near or below the bottom threshold (e.g. < –0.23), it may indicate a deep undervaluation or accumulation zone.
🧠 Ideal for long-term cycle analysis, macro timing, and on-chain sentiment assessment.
⚠️ Note:
This indicator uses security() calls to access external on-chain data. It is recommended to view it on the Bitcoin chart with a daily or weekly timeframe for optimal alignment.
Due to Pine Script limitations, it does not support custom timeframe aggregation when drawing tables or alert-generating objects.
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Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Skrip sumber terbuka
Dalam semangat sebenar TradingView, pencipta skrip ini telah menjadikannya sumber terbuka supaya pedagang dapat menilai dan mengesahkan kefungsiannya. Terima kasih kepada penulis! Walaupun anda boleh menggunakannya secara percuma, ingat bahawa menerbitkan semula kod ini adalah tertakluk kepada Peraturan Dalaman kami.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.