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Linear Extrapolation

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Basic extrapolator for forecast a time-series, all forecasts are mades length periods ahead.

syot kilat

syot kilat

This is not a estimation of the exact price

This should only be used for forecasting direction, dont expect the price to be at the same value of its forecast.

Bias, Mean absolute error, Mean percentage error...etc look useless here, its better to use correlation as a accuracy measurement.

Correlation(Forecast[length],close,period)

syot kilat

Rescaling for a better forecast ?

Transforming a non-stationary signal to a stationary signal can increase the forecasting accuracy, this can be done by detrending. Here is a list of somes detrending methods:

Auto-Bias : price - price[period]

Mean-Bias : price - price moving average

Log transform : log(price/price moving average)

Correlation : correlation(price,n,period)



Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.