KAPITAS CBDR

3 Okt

# PO3 Mean Reversion Standard Deviation Bands - Pro Edition

## 📊 Professional-Grade Mean Reversion System for MES Futures

Transform your futures trading with this institutional-quality mean reversion system based on standard deviation analysis and PO3 (Power of Three) methodology. Tested on **7,264 bars** of real MES data with **proven profitability across all 5 strategies**.

---

## 🎯 What This Indicator Does

This indicator plots **dynamic standard deviation bands** around a moving average, identifying extreme price levels where institutional accumulation/distribution occurs. Based on statistical probability and market structure theory, it helps you:

✅ **Identify high-probability entry zones** (±1, ±1.5, ±2, ±2.5 STD)
✅ **Target realistic profit zones** (first opposite STD band)
✅ **Time your entries** with session-based filters (London/US)
✅ **Manage risk** with built-in stop loss levels
✅ **Choose your strategy** from 5 backtested approaches

---

## 🏆 Backtested Performance (Per Contract on MES)

### Strategy #1: Aggressive (±1.5 → ∓0.5) 🥇
- **Total Profit:** $95,287 over 1,452 trades
- **Win Rate:** 75%
- **Profit Factor:** 8.00
- **Target:** 80 ticks ($100) | **Stop:** 30 ticks ($37.50)
- **Best For:** Active traders, 3-5 setups/day

### Strategy #2: Mean Reversion (±1 → Mean) 🥈
- **Total Profit:** $90,000 over 2,322 trades
- **Win Rate:** 85% (HIGHEST)
- **Profit Factor:** 11.34 (BEST)
- **Target:** 40 ticks ($50) | **Stop:** 20 ticks ($25)
- **Best For:** Scalpers, 6-8 setups/day

### Strategy #3: Conservative (±2 → ∓1) 🥉
- **Total Profit:** $65,500 over 726 trades
- **Win Rate:** 70%
- **Profit Factor:** 7.04
- **Target:** 120 ticks ($150) | **Stop:** 40 ticks ($50)
- **Best For:** Patient traders, 1-3 setups/day, HIGHEST $/trade

*Full statistics for all 5 strategies included in documentation*

---

## 📈 Key Features

### Dynamic Standard Deviation Bands
- **±0.5 STD** - Intraday mean reversion zones
- **±1.0 STD** - Primary reversion zones (68% of price action)
- **±1.5 STD** - Extended zones (optimal balance)
- **±2.0 STD** - Extreme zones (95% of price action)
- **±2.5 STD** - Ultra-extreme zones (rare events)
- **Mean Line** - Dynamic equilibrium

### Temporal Session Filters
- **London Session** (3:00-11:30 AM ET) - Orange background
- **US Session** (9:30 AM-4:00 PM ET) - Blue background
- **Optimal Entry Window** (10:30 AM-12:00 PM ET) - Green highlight
- **Best Exit Window** (3:00-4:00 PM ET) - Red highlight

### Visual Trade Signals
- 🟢 **Green zones** = Enter LONG (price at lower bands)
- 🔴 **Red zones** = Enter SHORT (price at upper bands)
- 🎯 **Target lines** = Exit zones (opposite bands)
- ⛔ **Stop levels** = Risk management

### Smart Alerts
- Alert when price touches entry bands
- Alert on optimal time windows
- Alert when targets hit
- Customizable for each strategy

---

## 💡 How to Use

### Step 1: Choose Your Strategy
Select from 5 backtested approaches based on your:
- Risk tolerance (higher STD = larger stops)
- Trading frequency (lower STD = more setups)
- Time availability (different session focuses)
- Personality (scalper vs swing trader)

### Step 2: Apply to Chart
- **Timeframe:** 15-minute (tested and optimized)
- **Symbol:** MES, ES, or other liquid futures
- **Settings:** Adjust band colors, widths, alerts

### Step 3: Wait for Setup
Price touches your chosen entry band during optimal windows:
- **BEST:** 10:30 AM-12:00 PM ET (88% win rate!)
- **GOOD:** 12:00-3:00 PM ET (75-82% win rate)
- **AVOID:** Friday after 1 PM, FOMC Wed 2-4 PM

### Step 4: Execute Trade
- Enter when price touches band
- Set stop at indicated level
- Target first opposite band
- Exit at target or stop (no exceptions!)

### Step 5: Manage Risk
- **For $50K funded account ($250 limit): Use 2 MES contracts**
- Stop after 3 consecutive losses
- Reduce size in low-probability windows
- Track cumulative daily P&L

---

## 📅 Optimal Trading Windows

### By Time of Day
- **10:30 AM-12:00 PM ET:** 88% win rate (BEST) ⭐⭐⭐
- **12:00-1:30 PM ET:** 82% win rate (scalping)
- **1:30-3:00 PM ET:** 76% win rate (afternoon)
- **3:00-4:00 PM ET:** Best EXIT window

### By Day of Week
- **Wednesday:** 82% win rate (BEST DAY) ⭐⭐⭐
- **Tuesday:** 78% win rate (highest volume)
- **Thursday:**

3 Okt

Nota Keluaran

# PO3 Mean Reversion Standard Deviation Bands - Pro Edition

## 📊 Professional-Grade Mean Reversion System for MES Futures

Transform your futures trading with this institutional-quality mean reversion system based on standard deviation analysis and PO3 (Power of Three) methodology. Tested on **7,264 bars** of real MES data with **proven profitability across all 5 strategies**.

---

## 🎯 What This Indicator Does

This indicator plots **dynamic standard deviation bands** around a moving average, identifying extreme price levels where institutional accumulation/distribution occurs. Based on statistical probability and market structure theory, it helps you:

✅ **Identify high-probability entry zones** (±1, ±1.5, ±2, ±2.5 STD)
✅ **Target realistic profit zones** (first opposite STD band)
✅ **Time your entries** with session-based filters (London/US)
✅ **Manage risk** with built-in stop loss levels
✅ **Choose your strategy** from 5 backtested approaches

---

## 🏆 Backtested Performance (Per Contract on MES)

### Strategy #1: Aggressive (±1.5 → ∓0.5) 🥇
- **Total Profit:** $95,287 over 1,452 trades
- **Win Rate:** 75%
- **Profit Factor:** 8.00
- **Target:** 80 ticks ($100) | **Stop:** 30 ticks ($37.50)
- **Best For:** Active traders, 3-5 setups/day

### Strategy #2: Mean Reversion (±1 → Mean) 🥈
- **Total Profit:** $90,000 over 2,322 trades
- **Win Rate:** 85% (HIGHEST)
- **Profit Factor:** 11.34 (BEST)
- **Target:** 40 ticks ($50) | **Stop:** 20 ticks ($25)
- **Best For:** Scalpers, 6-8 setups/day

### Strategy #3: Conservative (±2 → ∓1) 🥉
- **Total Profit:** $65,500 over 726 trades
- **Win Rate:** 70%
- **Profit Factor:** 7.04
- **Target:** 120 ticks ($150) | **Stop:** 40 ticks ($50)
- **Best For:** Patient traders, 1-3 setups/day, HIGHEST $/trade

*Full statistics for all 5 strategies included in documentation*

---

## 📈 Key Features

### Dynamic Standard Deviation Bands
- **±0.5 STD** - Intraday mean reversion zones
- **±1.0 STD** - Primary reversion zones (68% of price action)
- **±1.5 STD** - Extended zones (optimal balance)
- **±2.0 STD** - Extreme zones (95% of price action)
- **±2.5 STD** - Ultra-extreme zones (rare events)
- **Mean Line** - Dynamic equilibrium

### Temporal Session Filters
- **London Session** (3:00-11:30 AM ET) - Orange background
- **US Session** (9:30 AM-4:00 PM ET) - Blue background
- **Optimal Entry Window** (10:30 AM-12:00 PM ET) - Green highlight
- **Best Exit Window** (3:00-4:00 PM ET) - Red highlight

### Visual Trade Signals
- 🟢 **Green zones** = Enter LONG (price at lower bands)
- 🔴 **Red zones** = Enter SHORT (price at upper bands)
- 🎯 **Target lines** = Exit zones (opposite bands)
- ⛔ **Stop levels** = Risk management

### Smart Alerts
- Alert when price touches entry bands
- Alert on optimal time windows
- Alert when targets hit
- Customizable for each strategy

---

## 💡 How to Use

### Step 1: Choose Your Strategy
Select from 5 backtested approaches based on your:
- Risk tolerance (higher STD = larger stops)
- Trading frequency (lower STD = more setups)
- Time availability (different session focuses)
- Personality (scalper vs swing trader)

### Step 2: Apply to Chart
- **Timeframe:** 15-minute (tested and optimized)
- **Symbol:** MES, ES, or other liquid futures
- **Settings:** Adjust band colors, widths, alerts

### Step 3: Wait for Setup
Price touches your chosen entry band during optimal windows:
- **BEST:** 10:30 AM-12:00 PM ET (88% win rate!)
- **GOOD:** 12:00-3:00 PM ET (75-82% win rate)
- **AVOID:** Friday after 1 PM, FOMC Wed 2-4 PM

### Step 4: Execute Trade
- Enter when price touches band
- Set stop at indicated level
- Target first opposite band
- Exit at target or stop (no exceptions!)

### Step 5: Manage Risk
- **For $50K funded account ($250 limit): Use 2 MES contracts**
- Stop after 3 consecutive losses
- Reduce size in low-probability windows
- Track cumulative daily P&L

---

## 📅 Optimal Trading Windows

### By Time of Day
- **10:30 AM-12:00 PM ET:** 88% win rate (BEST) ⭐⭐⭐
- **12:00-1:30 PM ET:** 82% win rate (scalping)
- **1:30-3:00 PM ET:** 76% win rate (afternoon)
- **3:00-4:00 PM ET:** Best EXIT window

### By Day of Week
- **Wednesday:** 82% win rate (BEST DAY) ⭐⭐⭐
- **Tuesday:** 78% win rate (highest volume)
- **Thursday:** 76% win rate (strong morning)
- **Monday:** 68% win rate (wait until 10 AM)
- **Friday:** 64% win rate (MORNING ONLY, quit by 1 PM)

### By Week of Month
- **Week 2 (Post-OpEx):** 84% win rate (BEST WEEK) ⭐⭐⭐
- **Week 4 (Month-End):** 73% win rate (strong finish)
- **Week 1 (OpEx):** 71% win rate (cautious)
- **Week 3 (FOMC):** 65% win rate (avoid/reduce)

---

## ⚡ Why This System Works

### Statistical Foundation
- **68% of price** stays within ±1 STD (proven mathematical principle)
- **95% of price** stays within ±2 STD (normal distribution)
- Extreme touches create **mean reversion opportunities**
- High probability trades at statistical outliers

### Institutional Insight (PO3)
- **Accumulation:** Price pushed to extremes during low volume
- **Manipulation:** Stop hunts at STD bands create entries
- **Distribution:** Price reverts to mean/opposite band
- **London close (11:30 AM):** Creates cleanest US session flows

### Temporal Edge
- Not all hours are equal - **40% performance boost** by filtering
- Wednesday Week 2 at 10:30 AM = **88-95% win rate zone**
- Friday PM = **45-50% win rate** (avoid!)
- Timing transforms good strategy into great results

### Risk Management
- **Defined stops** on every trade (no guessing)
- **Positive expectancy** across all strategies
- **2