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RSI Forecast Colorful [DiFlip]

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RSI Forecast Colorful [DiFlip]

Introducing one of the most complete RSI indicators available — a highly customizable analytical tool that integrates advanced prediction capabilities. RSI Forecast Colorful is an evolution of the classic RSI, designed to anticipate potential future RSI movements using linear regression. Instead of simply reacting to historical data, this indicator provides a statistical projection of the RSI’s future behavior, offering a forward-looking view of market conditions.


⯁ Real-Time RSI Forecasting

For the first time, a public RSI indicator integrates linear regression (least squares method) to forecast the RSI’s future behavior. This innovative approach allows traders to anticipate market movements based on historical trends. By applying Linear Regression to the RSI, the indicator displays a projected trendline n periods ahead, helping traders make more informed buy or sell decisions.


⯁ Highly Customizable

The indicator is fully adaptable to any trading style. Dozens of parameters can be optimized to match your system. All 28 long and short entry conditions are selectable and configurable, allowing the construction of quantitative, statistical, and automated trading models. Full control over signals ensures precise alignment with your strategy.


⯁ Innovative and Science-Based

This is the first public RSI indicator to apply least-squares predictive modeling to RSI calculations. Technically, it incorporates machine-learning logic into a classic indicator. Using Linear Regression embeds strong statistical foundations into RSI forecasting, making this tool especially valuable for traders seeking quantitative and analytical advantages.


⯁ Scientific Foundation: Linear Regression

Linear regression is a fundamental statistical method that models the relationship between a dependent variable y and one or more independent variables x. The general formula for simple linear regression is:

y = β₀ + β₁x + ε

where:

y  = predicted variable (e.g., future RSI value)
x  = explanatory variable (e.g., bar index or time)
β₀ = intercept (value of y when x = 0)
β₁ = slope (rate of change of y relative to x)
ε   = random error term

The goal is to estimate β₀ and β₁ by minimizing the sum of squared errors. This is achieved using the least squares method, ensuring the best linear fit to historical data. Once the coefficients are calculated, the model extends the regression line forward, generating the RSI projection based on recent trends. syot kilat
⯁ Least Squares Estimation

To minimize the error between predicted and observed values, we use the formulas:

β₁ = Σ((xᵢ - x̄)(yᵢ - ȳ)) / Σ((xᵢ - x̄)²)
β₀ = ȳ - β₁x̄

Σ denotes summation; x̄ and ȳ are the means of x and y; and i ranges from 1 to n (number of observations). These equations produce the best linear unbiased estimator under the Gauss–Markov assumptions — constant variance (homoscedasticity) and a linear relationship between variables. syot kilat
⯁ Linear Regression in Machine Learning

Linear regression is a foundational component of supervised learning. Its simplicity and precision in numerical prediction make it essential in AI, predictive algorithms, and time-series forecasting. Applying regression to RSI is akin to embedding artificial intelligence inside a classic indicator, adding a new analytical dimension. syot kilat
⯁ Visual Interpretation

Imagine a time series of RSI values like this:

Time → [..............]
RSI    → [ 68, 65, 61, 59, 57, ... ]

The regression line smooths these historical values and projects itself n periods forward, creating a predictive trajectory. This projected RSI line can cross the actual RSI, generating sophisticated entry and exit signals. In summary, the RSI Forecast Colorful indicator provides both the current RSI and the forecasted RSI, allowing comparison between past and future trend behavior. syot kilat
⯁ Summary of Scientific Concepts Used

Linear Regression: Models relationships between variables using a straight line.
Least Squares: Minimizes squared prediction errors for optimal fit.
Time-Series Forecasting: Predicts future values from historical patterns.
Supervised Learning: Predictive modeling based on known output values.
Statistical Smoothing: Reduces noise to highlight underlying trends.


⯁ Why This Indicator Is Revolutionary

Scientifically grounded: Built on statistical and mathematical theory.
First of its kind: The first public RSI with least-squares predictive modeling.
Intelligent: Incorporates machine-learning logic into RSI interpretation.
Forward-looking: Generates predictive, not just reactive, signals.
Customizable: Exceptionally flexible for any strategic framework.


⯁ Conclusion

By combining RSI and linear regression, the RSI Forecast Colorful allows traders to predict market momentum rather than simply follow it. It's not just another indicator: it's a scientific advancement in technical analysis technology. Offering 28 configurable entry conditions and advanced signals, this open-source indicator paves the way for innovative quantitative systems.


⯁ Example of simple linear regression with one independent variable

This example demonstrates how a basic linear regression works when there is only one independent variable influencing the dependent variable. This type of model is used to identify a direct relationship between two variables. syot kilat
⯁ In linear regression, observations (red) are considered the result of random deviations (green) from an underlying relationship (blue) between a dependent variable (y) and an independent variable (x)

This concept illustrates that sampled data points rarely align perfectly with the true trend line. Instead, each observed point represents the combination of the true underlying relationship and a random error component. syot kilat
⯁ Visualizing heteroscedasticity in a scatterplot with 100 random fitted values using Matlab

Heteroscedasticity occurs when the variance of the errors is not constant across the range of fitted values. This visualization highlights how the spread of data can change unpredictably, which is an important factor in evaluating the validity of regression models. syot kilat
⯁ The datasets in Anscombe’s quartet were designed to have nearly the same linear regression line (as well as nearly identical means, standard deviations, and correlations) but look very different when plotted

This classic example shows that summary statistics alone can be misleading. Even with identical numerical metrics, the datasets display completely different patterns, emphasizing the importance of visual inspection when interpreting a model. syot kilat
⯁ Result of fitting a set of data points with a quadratic function

This example illustrates how a second-degree polynomial model can better fit certain datasets that do not follow a linear trend. The resulting curve reflects the true shape of the data more accurately than a straight line. syot kilat
⯁ What Is RSI?

The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a technical indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder. It measures the velocity and magnitude of recent price movements to identify overbought and oversold conditions. The RSI ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify potential reversals and evaluate trend strength.

⯁ How RSI Works

RSI is calculated from average gains and losses over a set period (commonly 14 bars) and plotted on a 0–100 scale. It consists of three key zones:

Overbought: RSI above 70 may signal an overbought market.
Oversold: RSI below 30 may signal an oversold market.
Neutral Zone: RSI between 30 and 70, indicating no extreme condition.

These zones help identify potential price reversals and confirm trend strength.


⯁ Entry Conditions

All conditions below are fully customizable and allow detailed control over entry signal creation.


📈 BUY

🧲 Signal Validity: Signal remains valid for X bars.
🧲 Signal Logic: Configurable using AND or OR.

🧲 RSI > Upper
🧲 RSI < Upper
🧲 RSI > Lower
🧲 RSI < Lower
🧲 RSI > Middle
🧲 RSI < Middle
🧲 RSI > MA
🧲 RSI < MA

🧲 MA > Upper
🧲 MA < Upper
🧲 MA > Lower
🧲 MA < Lower

🧲 RSI (Crossover) Upper
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Upper
🧲 RSI (Crossover) Lower
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Lower
🧲 RSI (Crossover) Middle
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Middle
🧲 RSI (Crossover) MA
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) MA
🧲 MA (Crossover)Upper
🧲 MA (Crossunder)Upper
🧲 MA (Crossover) Lower
🧲 MA (Crossunder) Lower

🧲 RSI Bullish Divergence
🧲 RSI Bearish Divergence

🔮 RSI (Crossover) Forecast MA
🔮 RSI (Crossunder) Forecast MA syot kilat
📉 SELL

🧲 Signal Validity: Signal remains valid for X bars.
🧲 Signal Logic: Configurable using AND or OR.

🧲 RSI > Upper
🧲 RSI < Upper
🧲 RSI > Lower
🧲 RSI < Lower
🧲 RSI > Middle
🧲 RSI < Middle
🧲 RSI > MA
🧲 RSI < MA

🧲 MA > Upper
🧲 MA < Upper
🧲 MA > Lower
🧲 MA < Lower

🧲 RSI (Crossover) Upper
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Upper
🧲 RSI (Crossover) Lower
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Lower
🧲 RSI (Crossover) Middle
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Middle
🧲 RSI (Crossover) MA
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) MA
🧲 MA (Crossover)Upper
🧲 MA (Crossunder)Upper
🧲 MA (Crossover) Lower
🧲 MA (Crossunder) Lower

🧲 RSI Bullish Divergence
🧲 RSI Bearish Divergence

🔮 RSI (Crossover) Forecast MA
🔮 RSI (Crossunder) Forecast MA syot kilat
🤖 Automation

All BUY and SELL conditions can be automated using TradingView alerts. Every configurable condition can trigger alerts suitable for fully automated or semi-automated strategies. syot kilat
⯁ Unique Features
  1. Linear Regression Forecast
  2. Signal Validity: Keep signals active for X bars
  3. Signal Logic: AND/OR configuration
  4. Condition Table: BUY/SELL
  5. Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
  6. Chart Labels: BUY/SELL markers above price
  7. Automation & Alerts: BUY/SELL
  8. Background Colors: bgcolor
  9. Fill Colors: fill
  1. Linear Regression Forecast
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  2. Signal Validity: Keep signals active for X bars
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  3. Signal Logic: AND/OR configuration
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  4. Condition Table: BUY/SELL
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  5. Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
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  6. Chart Labels: BUY/SELL markers above price
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  7. Automation & Alerts: BUY/SELL
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  8. Background Colors: bgcolor
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  9. Fill Colors: fill
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Penafian

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