Leonid's Bitcoin Macro & Liquidity Regime Tracker🧠 Macro Overlay Score (Bitcoin Liquidity Regime Tracker)
This indicator combines the most important macroeconomic and on-chain inputs into a single unified score to help investors identify Bitcoin’s long-term cycle phases. Each input is normalized into a 0–100 score and blended using configurable weights to generate a dynamic, forward-looking macro regime tracker.
✅ Best used on the **Bitcoin All Time History Index with Weekly resolution** (`INDEX:BTCUSD`) for maximum historical context and signal clarity.
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📈 Why Macro?
Macro liquidity conditions — interest rates, monetary expansion, dollar strength, credit risk — drive Bitcoin cycles . Risk assets like BTC thrive during periods of:
Monetary easing
Liquidity injections
Expansionary central bank policy
This overlay surfaces those periods *before* price follows. It captures cycle shifts in the business cycle, monetary policy, and investor sentiment — making it ideal for long-term allocators, macro-aligned investors, and cycle-focused BTC holders.
🔔 This is **not** designed for short-term or swing trading. It is optimized for **macro trend confirmation and regime awareness** — not fast entry/exit signals.
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🔍 What It Tracks
Macro Inputs:
- 🏭 ISM 3M Trend (Business Cycle)
- 💹 CPI YoY (Inverted Inflation)
- 💵 M2 YoY + M2 Acceleration
- 🇨🇳 China M2 (Global Liquidity)
- 💱 DXY 3M Trend (USD Strength)
- 🏦 TGA & RRP YoY (Treasury / MMF Flows)
- 🏛 Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL)
- 💳 High Yield Spread (Credit Conditions)
- 💧 Net Liquidity Composite = WALCL – TGA – RRP
On-Chain Inputs:
- ⚠️ MVRV Ratio (Valuation Cycles)
- 🚀 Mayer Multiple Acceleration (200DMA Momentum)
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🧩 How It Works
Each input is:
Normalized to a 0–100 score
Weighted by importance (fully configurable)
Combined into a **composite Macro Score**, then normalized across history
The chart will display:
🔷 A 0–100 **Macro Score Line**
🧭 **Cycle Phase classification**: Accumulation, Expansion, Distribution, Capitulation
📊 Optional **debug table** with all sub-scores
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🧠 Interpreting the Signal
| Signal Type | Meaning |
|-------------------|---------------------------------------------|
| Macro Score ↑ | Liquidity improving → Bullish regime forming |
| Macro Score ↓ | Liquidity deteriorating → Caution warranted |
| Score < 40 & Rising | 🔵 Accumulation cycle likely beginning |
| Score > 70 & Falling | 🟡 Distribution / Macro exhaustion |
| Net Liquidity ↑ | Strong driver of BTC upside historically |
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❓ FAQ
Q: Why did the Macro Score peak in March 2021, but Bitcoin topped in November?
> The indicator reflects **macro liquidity**, not price momentum. M2 growth slowed, DXY bottomed, and the Fed stopped expanding WALCL by Q1 2021 — all signs of macro exhaustion. BTC continued on **residual momentum**, but the smart money began exiting months earlier.
Q: What does the score range mean?
- 0–25 : Tight liquidity, unfavorable conditions
- 50 : Neutral environment
- 75–100 : Strong easing, liquidity surge
Q: Is this good for short-term signals?
> No. This is a **macro-level overlay**, best used for 3–12 month context shifts, not day trades.
Q: Can I adjust the weights?
> Yes. You can tune the influence of each input to match your thesis (e.g., overweight on-chain, or global liquidity).
Q: Do I need special data access?
> No. All symbols are public TradingView datasets (FRED, CryptoCap, etc.). Just use this on a BTC chart like `BTCUSD`.
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✅ How to Use
- Load on **`INDEX:BTCUSD`**, set to **Weekly timeframe**
- Confirm long-term bottoms when score is low and rising (Accumulation → Expansion)
- Watch for tops when score is high and falling (Distribution → Capitulation)
- Combine with price structure, realized profit/loss, and market sentiment
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🚀 If you're serious about understanding Bitcoin's macro regime, this is your alpha map. Share it, clone it, and build on it.
Bitcoinanalysis
Blockchain Fundamentals - Active Address Sentiment Osc. [CR]Blockchain Fundamentals: Active Address Sentiment Oscillator AASO
Back with another script today, this one is a useful tool in helping to determine bitcoins value. We are looking at 2 data sources: the daily active addresses on the BTC blockchain, and the daily returns of BTC.
THIS INDICATOR WILL ONLY GIVE YOU THE CORRECT RESULTS ON THE DAILY TIMEFRAME
There is an interesting relationship that you can see by comparing the two timeseries. But for us to create a good indicator we first need to normalize the data. So we look at the percent change over the past 28 days for each metric (DAA and price).
THIS INDICATOR WILL ONLY GIVE YOU THE CORRECT RESULTS ON THE DAILY TIMEFRAME
We then calculate standard deviation bands around the DAA metric. We finalize them by averaging the bands over a 28 day period.
When the Price series (yellow line) is higher than the SD bands BTC is considered overvalued or price is overheated. A pullback could be expected soon. When the Price series is below the SD bands BTC is considered undervalued or price is oversold.
THIS INDICATOR WILL ONLY GIVE YOU THE CORRECT RESULTS ON THE DAILY TIMEFRAME
This tool doesnt give signals on the one minute chart or tell you exactly when to buy or sell. BUT what it does do is act as a convenient macro sentiment indicator that is not based completely upon price.
In an attempt to narrow down the really juicy areas, if you seen the background color highlights with white, that means its likely a top or bottom. At the very least on a local sense and many times in a cyclical macro sense as well. It also narrows down the signal to a generally more profitable area.
This indicator is not meant to be used on timeframes other than daily (did I mention that already?). I am lazy and did not code the calculations to be MTF (which is why you have to use on the daily chart). If you want to code this, please forward it on to me and I will post an update with a heartfelt credit to you.
CRYPTO ECLIPSEWelcome to CRYPTO ECLIPSE!
If you see the market as a game between buyers and sellers, CRYPTO ECLIPSE is the EASY MODE.
Don't believe in any word I wrote, but please don't doubt about it until you TEST IT. Just go ahead and take your own conclusions, maybe this script changes your life, like it changed mine.
What would be like if you could see the markets through the eyes of a trader with many years of experience? (and If you are already this trader, you could add this as a live second opnion)
Imagine if you could consistently predcit buyers and sellers actions, attempts and rejections. That's what Price action technical analysis tries, but price action often feels like very subjective and to succeed and learn it, you will probably need at least 4 years of trading, winning and loosing to find consistancy, that's the process. CRYPTO ECLIPSE will show how you will see the market after this years spent, You''ll be skipping this years.
CRYPTO ECLIPSE is a setup that translates the market to you and give you the view of the market as it is, and not only how it was in the past. Differently from almost all other indicators i've seen in my life, CRYPTO ECLIPSE is a setup focused in PREDICT, not REACT. In my opnion that's why indicators not work well, they are too focused in the past, giving late decisions.
Truth be told, it's sounds good, but how do I use it?
I will explain you the main features, what you need to do is: Take some time to learn it, mess with the configs. Until you see the chart as you believe is the best predict scenario for the past, and then just sit and see how it will keep predicting the next moviments. Well, it works for me :)
Why am I renting this setup?
I am not. This is made for you to test for free, and for those who this setup makes all sense, we will build a small comunity around it. Just watch as we go, or Join us.
Before I forget, the setup is also a screener to track the 6 conditions above in the last 1-5 periods.
Main Features description:
BAR COLOR 2 = Strong Buyers domain(Candle's color)
BAR COLOR 3 = Strong Sellers domain(Candle's color)
BAR COLOR 0 e 1 = Fine Tuning(Advanced) There are 3 main ways to use it:
-Standard, following the same 2 and 3 bar colors.
-Changing both 0 and 1 bar colors. You can use Orange or pink or white colors for both 0 and 1, or other any color, try to use one that does not match with green or red for distinction. Consider the 0 and 1 bars as trend changing in course, or the breath of the market before a trend continuation (pullback).
Another option, that's indicated for Professionals only: change bar zero to dark green and 1 to a lighter red. This way you will see the gain and loose game in real time, take some time and you will see dark red going to lighter red will indicate a seller's weakness and the oposite for the buyers. If you are already a PRO, go ahead and play with these 2 options.
BP= STRONG BUYERS DOMAN
BPD= STRONG BUYERS DOMAN DECREASING
SP= STRONG SELLERS DOMAN
SPD= STRONG SELLERS DOMAN DECREASING
EB= POSSIBLE EARLY BUYERS DOMAIN SIGNAL
ES= POSSIBLE EARLY SELLERS DOMAIN SIGNAL
Note that BPD AND SPD are the same as EB and ES, I made this as a double entries so we can combine two different periods. If you look close you'll learn that the periods are related to the range of past periods you want to consider.
IF you pick a low period, it will show more signals, and it willl be more sensitive to the market changes. All the signals are real things that happened there, you will see that there was always a pullback or a consolidation, since this is very sensitive it's better to traders who want what's happening all the time
If you pick a high period, it will show less signals and with significant and strong movement, there are no guesses in this signals, if it did not proceed with a strong moviment, the opposite forces rejected their attempt.
Fit to your market point of view: Mess with the period numbers until you see the signals(arrows) where you understand is the best place to take a trade in the past, and watch it repeat the alert for you in the future, same as bar colors.
Note: If you want to enter only with big movements signals, use Stronger signals and high periods. if you want to try to get the movement begin, go with the early signals, using short periods.
Play with the configs until the chart give you the confidence you want to have to trade your money.
I don't recomend to use it with many indicators, if you add more than one indicator with this, you are probably insecure, and this will be useless to you.
But go ahead and add a trend indicator, if you are a trend trader or a oscillator, if you are a oscillator guy... Whatever you need until you feel confident.
Alway remember, this is only a tool. it's your decision, this is not a buy/sell indicator (maybe in the future), this is a tool to read the market. Always trade SPOT never FUTURES, always keep your stop loss as close as you can.
Enjoy the ECLIPSE
🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Marketcap Multiple by Cryptorhythms🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Marketcap Multiple by Cryptorhythms
Intro
A brand new original indicator to judge long term bitcoin accumulation and distribution zones. Created by myself - theheirophant.
I love the way the indicator MVRV (market value to realized value) works, but there's no way to replicate it on tradingview as it uses outside data not available in the TV ecosystem. Then while looking at various marketcap alternatives, and idea was plain in front of my face!
Looking at marketcap + top cap + average cap creates a bounded area of price as seen here
Description
So I created an oscillator that shows marketcap's relation to top cap as the upper bound, and average cap as the lower bound. It then is rescaled from 0.25 to 10.
It should be viewed on a logrithmic scale and only works on the daily timeframe. You can enable/disable bar coloration and background highlighting from options.
It can be interpreted as times to accumulate and distribute on a long term basis. It would work well for trading spot markets.
The line at 0.75 acts as a sentiment indicator (above it is bullish, below it is bearish).
👍 Enjoying this indicator or find it useful? Please give me a like and follow (dont forget twitter also)! I post crypto analysis, price action strategies and free indicators regularly.
💬 Questions? Comments? Want to get access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators? Come visit us on telegram and chat. We make timely posts about the market, news, and strategy everyday. Our community isn't open only to subscribers - everyone is welcome to join. (check my sig)
Blockchain Fundamentals - Difficulty Ribbon by CryptorhythmsBlockchain Fundamentals - Difficulty Ribbon by Cryptorhythms
Link to Instructions Page / Idea will be linked below.
Q: Why are we separating instructions from the indicator page?
A: Well Tradingview recently instituted a change that only open source script authors can gain rep for their efforts. Any script that is protected or invite only no longer gets points, even if its still free for anyone to use.
We feel that is unfair so we ask everyone to like the IDEA (linked below) for this script if you want to support our efforts to keep releasing free (but protected source) indicators.
Bitcoin long term trendsThis script shows the long term trends in Bitcoin price.
It is based on my mathematical formula for the long term trends.
The blue line is a long term trend as a power function B = (t/693)^5.526
And the green line is a more sophisticated trend, which models the wave behavior over the whole history of bitcoin.
This script is only applicable to BTCUSD price. The trend lines are calculated as the functions of time only.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - BTC Network Momentum - Cryptorhythms🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Bitcoin Network Momentum by Cryptorhythms
Description
Network Momentum is a view created by PositiveCrypto which looks into the value transmitted through the Bitcoin blockchain denominated in BTC value plotted against Bitcoin`s price. It serves as a leading indicator of Bitcoin bull markets. Sufficiently high levels of value throughput is needed drive bull markets.
Network Momentum, if it was corrected for Bitcoin`s expanding token supply, would essentially be Bitcoin Velocity. In other words an inverse chart of NVT Ratio.
Bitcoin Network Momentum is another piece of the puzzle to help our understanding of Bitcoin fundamentals and their impact on price. Bitcoin Network Momentum looks at the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and the BTC value of daily transactions flowing through the blockchain.
It is important to note here that we are using the BTC daily value flowing through the blockchain, not the USD daily value which NVT Signal uses.
What we see when we look at this is that the BTC value of daily transactions acts as a leading indicator of Bitcoin’s major market phases.
Extras
We give you the option of changing the median price lookback length
👍 Enjoying this indicator or find it useful? Please give me a like and follow! I post crypto analysis, price action strategies and free indicators regularly.
💬 Questions? Comments? Want to get access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators? Come visit us on telegram and chat, or just soak up some knowledge. We make timely posts about the market, news, and strategy everyday. Our community isn't open only to subscribers - everyone is welcome to join.
For Trialers & Chat: t.me
🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Bitcoin Velocity by Cryptorhythms🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Bitcoin Velocity by Cryptorhythms
Description
The velocity of money is the rate at which money is exchanged in an economy. It is the number of times that money moves from one transaction to another. It also refers to how much a unit of currency is used in a given period of time. Simply put, it's the rate at which people spend currency. The velocity of money is usually measured as a ratio of gross national product (GNP) to a country's total supply of money, in traditional markets.
Here is the formula proposed by twitter user PositiveCrypto, implemented for you here on tradingview.
How does it relate to Bitcoin?
Is bitcoin trending towards savings or payments? This can help you decide. It is similar to Bitcoin Network Momentum, except this takes into account bitcoins increasing supply.
Low velocity implies HODLing and Speculation on future value. People looking at bitcoin as a longer term investment.
Higher velocity indicates currency changing hands faster. Perhaps as an indication of adoption pushing bitcoin towards a payment/transaction usage.
Opinions and Hypothesis
In the midst of the last bear market we saw velocity spike, perhaps as people gave up on investments and starting using it for payments.
As the 2017 bull run sucked in more buyers at higher and higher retail prices, velocity decreased, perhaps as those people did not want to sell at a loss.
As we entered the big dip in Nov 2018 velocity began increasing, as some capitulated and others were drawn into the market by lower prices.
Extras
I added in additional functionality so you can change the moving average from SMA to a few other choices (more MA's to choose from coming soon in future update). I also added a variable to change the length of said MA to your desired value so you may experiment. You can also chose to display as a line or area plot depending on preference.
👍 Enjoying this indicator or find it useful? Please give me a like and follow! I post crypto analysis, price action strategies and free indicators regularly.
💬 Questions? Comments? Want to get access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators? Come visit us on telegram and chat, or just soak up some knowledge. We make timely posts about the market, news, and strategy everyday. Our community isn't open only to subscribers - everyone is welcome to join.
For Trialers & Chat: t.me
