TrendPredator FOTrendPredator Fakeout Highlighter (FO)
The TrendPredator Fakeout Highlighter is designed to enhance multi-timeframe trend analysis by identifying key market behaviors that indicate trend strength, weakness, and potential reversals. Inspired by Stacey Burke’s trading approach, this tool focuses on trend-following, momentum shifts, and trader traps, helping traders capitalize on high-probability setups.
At its core, this indicator highlights peak formations—anchor points where price often locks in trapped traders before making decisive moves. These principles align with George Douglas Taylor’s 3-day cycle and Steve Mauro’s BTMM method, making the FO Highlighter a powerful tool for reading market structure. As markets are fractal, this analysis works on any timeframe.
How It Works
The TrendPredator FO highlights key price action signals by coloring candles based on their bias state on the current timeframe.
It tracks four major elements:
Breakout/Breakdown Bars – Did the candle close in a breakout or breakdown relative to the last candle?
Fakeout Bars (Trend Close) – Did the candle break a prior high/low and close back inside, but still in line with the trend?
Fakeout Bars (Counter-Trend Close) – Did the candle break a prior high/low, close back inside, and against the trend?
Switch Bars – Did the candle lose/ reclaim the breakout/down level of the last bar that closed in breakout/down, signalling a possible trend shift?
Reading the Trend with TrendPredator FO
The annotations in this example are added manually for illustration.
- Breakouts → Strong Trend
Multiple candles closing in breakout signal a healthy and strong trend.
- Fakeouts (Trend Close) → First Signs of Weakness
Candles that break out but close back inside suggest a potential slowdown—especially near key levels.
- Fakeouts (Counter-Trend Close) → Stronger Reversal Signal
Closing against the trend strengthens the reversal signal.
- Switch Bars → Momentum Shift
A shift in trend is confirmed when price crosses back through the last closed breakout candles breakout level, trapping traders and fuelling a move in the opposite direction.
- Breakdowns → Trend Reversal Confirmed
Once price breaks away from the peak formation, closing in breakdown, the trend shift is validated.
Customization & Settings
- Toggle individual candle types on/off
- Customize colors for each signal
- Set the number of historical candles displayed
Example Use Cases
1. Weekly Template Analysis
The weekly template is a core concept in Stacey Burke’s trading style. FO highlights individual candle states. With this the state of the trend and the developing weekly template can be evaluated precisely. The analysis is done on the daily timeframe and we are looking especially for overextended situations within a week, after multiple breakouts and for peak formations signalling potential reversals. This is helpful for thesis generation before a session and also for backtesting. The annotations in this example are added manually for illustration.
📈 Example: Weekly Template Analysis snapshot on daily timeframe
2. High Timeframe 5-Star Setup Analysis (Stacey Burke "ain't coming back" ACB Template)
This analysis identifies high-probability trade opportunities when daily breakout or down closes occur near key monthly levels mid-week, signalling overextensions and potentially large parabolic moves. Key signals for this are breakout or down closes occurring on a Wednesday. This is helpful for thesis generation before a session and also for backtesting. The annotations in this example are added manually for illustration. Also an indicator can bee seen on this chart shading every Wednesday to identify the signal.
📉 Example: High Timeframe Setup snapshot
3. Low Timeframe Entry Confirmation
FO helps confirm entry signals after a setup is identified, allowing traders to time their entries and exits more precisely. For this the highlighted Switch and/ or Fakeout bars can be highly valuable.
📊 Example (M15 Entry & Exit): Entry and Exit Confirmation snapshot
📊 Example (M5 Scale-In Strategy): Scaling Entries snapshot
The annotations in this examples are added manually for illustration.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only and does not guarantee profits.
None of the information provided shall be considered financial advice.
Users are fully responsible for their trading decisions and outcomes.
Fakeouts
TrendCylinder (Expo)█ Overview
The TrendCylinder is a dynamic trading indicator designed to capture trends and volatility in an asset's price. It provides a visualization of the current trend direction and upper and lower bands that adapt to volatility changes. By using this indicator, traders can identify potential breakouts or support and resistance levels. While also gauging the volatility to generate trading ranges. The indicator is a comprehensive tool for traders navigating various market conditions by providing a sophisticated blend of trend-following and volatility-based metrics.
█ How It Works
Trend Line: The trend line is constructed using the closing prices with the influence of volatility metrics. The trend line reacts to sudden price changes based on the trend factor and step settings.
Upper & Lower Bands: These bands are not static; they are dynamically adjusted with the calculated standard deviation and Average True Range (ATR) metrics to offer a more flexible, real-world representation of potential price movements, offering an idea of the market's likely trading range.
█ How to Use
Identifying Trends
The trend line can be used to identify the current market trend. If the price is above the trend line, it indicates a bullish trend. Conversely, if the price is below the trend line, it indicates a bearish trend.
Dynamic Support and Resistance
The upper and lower bands (including the trend line) dynamically change with market volatility, acting as moving targets of support and resistance. This helps set up stop-loss or take-profit levels with a higher degree of accuracy.
Breakout vs. Reversion Strategies
Price movements beyond the bands could signify strong trends, making it ideal for breakout strategies.
Fakeouts
If the price touches one of the bands and reverses direction, it could be a fakeout. Traders may choose to trade against the breakout in such scenarios.
█ Settings
Volatility Period: Defines the look-back period for calculating volatility. Higher values adapt the bands more slowly, whereas lower values adapt them more quickly.
Trend Factor: Adjusts the sensitivity of the trend line. Higher values produce a smoother line, while lower values make it more reactive to price changes.
Trend Step: Controls the pace at which the trend line adjusts to sudden price movements. Higher values lead to a slower adjustment and a smoother line, while lower values result in quicker adjustments.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Matze BreakoutShows 2 different states of breakout:
Arrow = unusual volume, raising volume, positiv rate of change, standard deviation breakout
Bolt = very unusual volume, very high standard deviation breakout
